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[NL2-NL10] nl2 AK

    • DrRaab
      Joined: 05.12.2011 Posts: 694
      Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      BTN: $0.77 (38.5 bb)
      SB: $2.36 (118 bb)
      BB: $2.05 (102.5 bb)
      UTG: $2.38 (119 bb)
      Hero (MP): $2.46 (123 bb)
      CO: $2.07 (103.5 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with K A
      UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.06, CO calls $0.06, BTN raises to $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, CO raises to $2.07 and is all-in, 2 folds

      no stats on villain, but with short stacks i've seen them pop up with Q7 etc. However full stack i just thought i would never be in great shape.
  • 1 reply
    • mbml
      Joined: 27.11.2008 Posts: 20,795

      I agree that you are rarely crushing here or anything like that, but at the same time I just think you are good barely often enough to call it off.

      You get like, 177/427 = 41.4% pot odds. It's extremely close though. I'm discounting AA/KK to some extent cos that usually 3-bets preflop.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 40.70% 40.41% 0.28% { AhKh }
      MP3 59.30% 59.02% 0.28% { QQ-JJ, AdAs, AsAc, KdKc }

      It's kind of like a break-even call or fold. Don't think it matters too much whether you call or fold. Note that I put 2 out of 3 combos of AA, and 1 out of 3 combos of KK, and my assumptions could be slightly off.
      Equity Win Tie
      MP2 41.90% 22.62% 19.28% { AhKh }
      MP3 58.10% 38.81% 19.28% { QQ+, AKs, AKo }

      This is QQ+/AK