Go to BED!!!!

    • Ramble
      Joined: 17.11.2008 Posts: 1,421
      You know it is time to stop playing and go to bed when you do this...
      (and YES, I know my thinking didn't make any sense... that's why it was time to go to bed :f_mad: )

      Poker Stars $1.32+$0.18 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 9 players - View hand 2324826
      DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

      UTG: t1500 75 BBs
      UTG+1: t1580 79 BBs
      UTG+2: t1460 73 BBs
      MP1: t1450 72.50 BBs
      MP2: t1470 73.50 BBs
      CO: t1090 54.50 BBs
      BTN: t1470 73.50 BBs
      Hero (SB): t1950 97.50 BBs
      BB: t1530 76.50 BBs

      Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is SB with J:spade: J:diamond:
      7 folds,
      Hero raises to t50,
      BB raises to t100,
      Thought Bubble - "He thinks I'm stealing, I could call, but let's 3-bet to let him think I have KK or AA",
      Hero raises to t300,
      BB raises to t580,
      Thought Bubble - "What the Hell?!? - Doesn't he know that you only re-raise this many times with AA??? Maybe if I push he'll get the idea and fold...",
      Hero raises to t1950 all in, BB calls t950 all in

      :f_mad: :f_confused: :f_frown: :f_eek: :f_cry: :f_mad: :f_confused: :f_o:
  • 2 replies
    • ZeroDegrees
      Joined: 03.06.2008 Posts: 743
      I'm off to bed too, just busted on 11th and discovered that it was no prize for 11 as I thought.
      Night night
    • DaPhunk
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      I see your point about that not being a great thought process. You might find this interesting to think about :

      small disclaimer: I see you play micro-stakes so your opponent is likely not as aggressive as he should be (some people never even 3bet without AA), but this should just demonstrate how good JJ is in this spot!

      Imagine you open a 40% range here. If you fold more than 53% he autoprofits.

      Now Imagine you 4bet 47% of the time and he 5bets, now he autoprofits if you fold more than 54.5% of the time.

      You have to shove the remaining 45.5% of your hands or he'll run you over.

      40% * 0.47 = 18.8% 4bet range.

      18.8 * 0.455 = 8.5% shoving range.

      Where is JJ in the list of hands? Why if you select JJ+ AK you have just 3% of hands. You need twice that number of hands in your shoving range and then some.

      Fingers crossed you think about the situation differently next time :f_biggrin: