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[NL2-NL10] Nl50 AQ SB

    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $8,00
      BB:
      $54,16
      UTG+1:
      $42,11
      UTG+2:
      $50,00
      MP1:
      $77,02
      MP2:
      $52,47
      MP3:
      $46,11
      CO:
      $10,00
      BU:
      $73,47

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is SB with A:diamond: , Q:club: . CO posts a blind of $0,50.
      4 folds, MP3 raises to $2,50, 4 folds. Hero does??

      Sample is not valid however 44/22 with 82 sample is quite loose.
      Reraise chart says that I can push accordingly. Is this correct?

      Also with an invalid sample size, how can I determine this to be +EV ?? With an invalid sample size I mean <50 hands.
  • 3 replies
    • davidangel
      davidangel
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 456
      Basic SSS tells you to fold. You are using everything to give you an "edge" (software, hud, stats, fish-finder, whatever, etc) So with invalid sample size I would fold. With a valid sample size you use your edge, and where you normally fold you push instead. When you land somewhere in between, you have to make a judgement call based on your experience level. I would push vs those stats, more so if I had a read from recent hands played at the table....
    • IngolPoker
      IngolPoker
      Black
      Joined: 05.09.2006 Posts: 10,484
      i push, as you can push against a lot of opponents who openraise in MP3

      and after 80 hands with 44/22 he wont be a TAG for sure ;)
    • DeKuip
      DeKuip
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.03.2008 Posts: 10,995
      I push as well.
      50+ hands is enough to presume that his actual VPIP and PFR come close to the projected stats from Villain. Besides that you can already reraise with AQ when he has a PFR of 8, so that should be no problem. Also the additional dead money from the poster will cause a looser raise from him.