[NL2-NL10] NL50 AKo

    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $8,25
      BB:
      $48,44
      UTG:
      $5,25
      UTG+1:
      $98,29
      Hero:
      $12,09
      MP1:
      $36,17
      MP2:
      $9,97
      MP3:
      $78,13
      CO:
      $47,00
      BU:
      $34,51

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (10 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is UTG+2 with A:diamond: , K:heart:
      UTG calls $0,50, UTG+1 folds, Hero raises to $2,50, 7 folds, UTG calls $2,00.

      Flop: ($5,75) 6:club: , 5:spade: , 9:diamond: (2 players)
      UTG raises $2,75 (All-In) - Hero?

      Limp/Call Early as Shortie
      Pot Odds thus Equity needed:
      8.5:2.75
      3:1

      Call or Fold?
  • 4 replies
    • Nunki
      Nunki
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.10.2006 Posts: 865
      Folding the flop is terrible. Your equity is easily good enough here.
    • phullhand
      phullhand
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.07.2008 Posts: 168
      Hi,

      I fold this hand if I was not using HUD. But if I see his vp$ip at the moment of play, I probably call, which doesn't mean that I'm right after all :) lol! It is because I personally have difficult to drop AK.

      His vp$ip is high, but despite this fact the RPF is very tight and you have just 25 hands, that is not so much to base your action on that. As I said, I have difficult to leave my AK..

      Resuming: I think you should fold.

      But about the odds, I have this opinion: your pot odds is 3:1 and equity is 3:1... so in the long run you will not earn or loose money... Am I right judges?
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Nice fishy opponent there with a 10BB stack. The fact he limps 50% of his first 25 hands is good enough for me to call his 1/2 potsize bet on the flop even if he looks tight postflop with 0.8%AF over the first 25 hands i don't think he necessarily is.

      Imo he could have just about anything and there is no way i would let this go for the price you've been given.

      I think he would play the same with any pair(or maybe any hand) after noticing that the pot was twice as big as his stack.


      i wouldn't normally think twice about this situation... interesting hand!
    • IngolPoker
      IngolPoker
      Black
      Joined: 05.09.2006 Posts: 10,467
      If we have 6 clean outs its a marginal -EV spot because we have just about 20% EQ. But sometimes he will show us a hand like AT,AJ or even A2...
      Then we would have 85%, which really boosts our overall equity.

      I think we are sometimes still ahead, so call!