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[NL2-NL10] NL5 SH: Set + called flop bet + bad turn card = ?

    • Gamer135
      Joined: 28.07.2008 Posts: 253
      Play's winding down at this table; I was planning on leaving after the next hand.

      $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Holdem
      3 players
      Converted at

      BTN ($12.95)
      Hero ($25.13)
      BB ($3.38)

      Pre-flop: ($0.07, 3 players) Hero is SB 9:spade: 9:heart:
      BTN folds, Hero raises to $0.15, BB calls $0.10

      Flop: 7:diamond: T:spade: 9:club: ($0.30, 2 players)
      Hero bets $0.25, BB calls $0.25

      Turn: Q:heart: ($0.80, 2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $0.25, $0.25 to Hero ($24.73)?

      Villain's stats - VPIP 57%, AF 0.86 over 14 hands.
  • 3 replies
    • armo
      Joined: 07.03.2008 Posts: 451
      If villain had oesd (8x) or gutshot (Jx) on flop then Q does not help him, if villain had J8, he already had straight, and only if villain had hand like KJ, then he made his straight on turn. So overall it is very unlikely he has straight there :) lead out turn or as played 3bet turn
    • TheBrood
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Id bet 0.20 pf, you dont want BB to get in cheap and hit some weird 2 pair.
      Try to get all in with set asap, this means bet turn big since its very drawy now.
      A free card here is catastrophic for you.
      You have outs for a FH in the rare case where you are behind.
    • srohack
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 1,908
      bet again on the turn close to potsize and aim to get it in as a favourite here a lot of the time