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[NL20-NL50] NL25 SH: donkbet allin on a paired flop

    • plaukas
      Joined: 10.04.2007 Posts: 205
      Villain VPIP: 50, PFR: 4 over 26 hands. I won 100 BBs from him a few hands ago where he had an overpair against my quads.

      Party Poker
      No Limit Holdem Ring game
      Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
      6 players

      Stack sizes:
      UTG: $34.57
      UTG+1: $48.15
      CO: $35.71
      Hero: $47.88
      SB: $25.95
      BB: $6.74

      Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is Button with K:diamond: K:spade:
      [color:#cc0000]UTG raises to $1[/color], UTG+1 calls, CO folds, [color:#cc0000]Hero raises to $4[/color], 3 folds, UTG+1 calls.

      Flop: Q:diamond: 2:diamond: Q:spade: ($9.35, 2 players)
      [color:#cc0000]UTG+1 is all-in $44.15[/color], Hero folds.
      Uncalled bets: $44.15 returned to UTG+1.

      Final pot: $9.35

      Now I think I should have called him. Probably my thinking was effected by the fact that I was deepish. What hands could he have? Would he play a flushdraw in such a way?
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Call is high variance play. So I'd rather let it go, since you're deep.
      I assume that player is not shoving here with rando 2 hands, so he probably has here flushdraw or Qx or boat. But he could easily hold AA and now is scared since there is two queens ont he board + flushdraw, so he wants to get money all-in with his overpair and hopes that you don't call with your hand (mostly because he is afraid to get outdrawed by flushdraw).
      So in generally you´re not in that good shape against his possible hand range, so I rather like to fold here.