[NL20-NL50] NL50SH: top set after 3bet - valueplay

    • Kruppe
      Kruppe
      Black
      Joined: 20.02.2008 Posts: 2,144
      best line for value?


      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $72,70
      MP2:
      $41,70

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.58 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BB with K:club: , K:heart:
      MP2 raises to $1,75, 4 folds, Hero raises to $6,00, MP2 calls $4,25.

      Flop: ($12,25) K:spade: , 7:diamond: , 5:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $6,00, MP2 calls $6,00.

      Turn: ($24,25) 6:heart: (2 players)
      Hero bets $13,00, MP2 folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back..

      Final Pot: $24,25
  • 6 replies
    • Chiller3k
      Chiller3k
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.06.2007 Posts: 4,326
      maybe you could bet more on the flop. He's go an WTS of 40%... I think he would also call a bigger bet.
      Since he's so passive you've got to bet the turn (as you did ;) ) half potsize is fine I think

      €dit: after reconsidering the hand I think checking the turn is the better play to get max value from his hand. He's msot likely holding QQ or maybe JJ in this spot. So in most cases he'll fold to a turn bet but would call a river bet after our turn check.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I like your line. No need to bet bigger on the flop or turn.
    • Chiller3k
      Chiller3k
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.06.2007 Posts: 4,326
      Originally posted by Kaitz20
      I like your line. No need to bet bigger on the flop or turn.
      Hey Kaitz20,

      what range would call our turn bet here?
      I just don't see a value bet here. He just won't call us with an underpair.
    • srohack
      srohack
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 1,908
      with that high went to showdown he will call with all pockets >8 + the draws that he will sometimes come up with
      i would actualy bet 7$ on the flop and probably 15$ on the turn but your amounts are good to because you can shove river for less then a pot size bet
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      When he has 88, then he has 8 outs. SInce I´m going to go bluffbet often here with AQ then don´t see any reason to check back. Seems like opponent is calling station, so he could call you down here also with 99-QQ.
    • Tosh5457
      Tosh5457
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.01.2008 Posts: 3,062
      nah I'd check on turn, he has a high WTS but look at his W$SD! It's 71%, so that high WTS is probably just variance.