We'll be posting an interesting spot played by one of our coaches every Monday, Wednesday, and Friday.
You have to guess what hero's next play was and why. Check out the first hand below - you have until Monday, February 24 to make your guess in the forum.
It's On You: what's your play? [deadline 24/02]
Reads: villain is a reg and generally solid, though willing to mix it up and bluff in the right circumstances. This is the bubble of a 6-max $60 SNG.
BTN (2,495) 17bb
SB (2,205) 15bb
Hero (4,300) 29bb
Pre-flop: (225, 3 players) Hero is BB 7 5
BTN calls 150, 1 fold, Hero checks.
Flop: 3 9 7 (375, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 225, Hero calls 225.
Turn: 3 9 7 A (825, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 346, Hero calls 346.
River: 3 9 7 A T (1,517, 2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets 825, Hero calls 825.
BTN shows Q J
Hero shows 7 5
Hero wins pot 3,167 with a pair of sevens
"Having reached the river with our weak flopped second pair, we face a third bet by villian.
I decided to call for a number of reasons. A wrong decsion will not put me out of the tournament; we will lose our chip advantage, but it's not fatal.
Our opponent's betsizing is suggestive. On the turn it looks as though he wants us to believe that he hit the Ace and so goes for value (under half pot). However, on the river, he bets just over half pot on a card that hits some of our flop calling range (i.e. flushdraws).
I think that my hand is face up as either: a weak 1-pair hand 3x/9x/7x or a flushdraw. I think any one pair hand would have a hard time calling on this particular river (overs/flush/Ace on board/possible straight) and so an Ax hand would be less likely to bet this much since it's hard to get paid off by worse (thus he migh go for less value or just check back).
So, villain's river betting range seems polarised to: flushes (some of which may even shove) and air. Given the odds, what we think about his preflop limping range, and how weak our hand should appear to him, I decided to make a thin bluffcatch."
What can I win?
At the end of the promotion (February 28) we'll hold a raffle with all the PokerStrategists who guessed correctly. They're in store for the following prizes:
1st: $50 + status upgrade
2nd: $25 + status upgrade
3rd: Status upgrade
Cash is paid to user's Tell-a-Friend account. Status upgrade lasts for one month.
For each correct guess, we'll award you one point; for each correct guess and correct bet sizing (within a certain margin of error) we'll award you two points. Each point gets you a ticket to our raffle.