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[NL2-NL10] NL25 AJo

    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      What do you think about such play? I would be very happy to see some examples here about the EV calculation.

      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $39,70
      Hero:
      $4,40

      0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.60 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A:diamond: , J:club:
      UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 calls $0,25, 2 folds, MP3 calls $0,25, CO folds, Hero raises to $1,50, SB raises to $3,70, 3 folds, Hero raises to $4,40 (All-In), SB calls $0,70.

      Flop: ($9,55) 6:heart: , T:club: , 5:spade:
      Turn: ($9,55) 3:club:
      River: ($9,55) J:heart:


      Final Pot: $9,55
  • 6 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi veriz

      Assume to be raised all-in since if you go all-in for $0.7 more, there is a <0.1% chance that Villain will fold.

      So
      Equity needed:
      ($4.4 + $0.5 +$0.35 + $1.5 )x0.95 :: (4.4-1.5)
      $6.4125:$2.9
      2.21:1
      =
      31.1%

      If you play with stats I would give him a range of TT+, AQ+ but I also would compare your AJo with 99+,AJ+,KQ

      TT+,AQ+ you have 27.8%
      99+,AJ+,KQ you have 38%

      I honestly think you are mostly way-behind/dominated or flipping with 2 overcards at its best.
      A marginal push so I like the good fold here.

      - Gerv
    • hammiemon85
      hammiemon85
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.09.2008 Posts: 116
      i will fold to the reraise here. AJo isn't good enough on this spot.
    • ysessa
      ysessa
      Basic
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      easiest fold in the world ;-)
    • strat9
      strat9
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.02.2008 Posts: 511
      Wasn't all-in correct here? If the orignal stack was 4.40 with a 1.50 raise, that leaves 2.90 left, which is < 2.5:1, remaining stack:original raise. According to the SHC and articles, this is a push?
    • davidangel
      davidangel
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.09.2008 Posts: 456
      Basic strategy says push all-in with less than 2.5:1 chip ratio. Unless I have stats and am able to calculate a better option I would push here, at this limit, in this spot. 58 hands is a small sample size, but the villian appears to be fairly solid. I agree with gerv, you are most likely behind, with stats you can fold. Vs unknown I push.
    • alejandrosh
      alejandrosh
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.07.2008 Posts: 4,346
      also , the guy has to be really loose, like 3betting AJs or 77 in this spot to make this call profitable