Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (10 handed) -
Party-Poker Converter Tool from
FlopTurnRiver.com
SB ($113.67)
BB ($200.65)
UTG ($69.92)
UTG+1 ($25.14)
Hero (MP1) ($21.18)
MP2 ($52.28)
MP3 ($117.43)
CO ($85.03)
Button ($100)
Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9

, 9
2 folds,
Hero raises $4,
5 folds, UTG calls $3
Flop: ($8.50) 2

, 6

, 6
(2 players)
UTG bets $2,
Hero raises $7, UTG calls $5
Turn: ($22.50) A
(2 players)
UTG bets $27, [color=#666666][i]Hero????
Villain stats are 30/2 his AF is 2.3 WTS = 19
So do you think the Villain is ever bluffing this spot?
We have to call $10 to win $30 so we need to win just 33% of the time to make a call allright. So i have given a reason why i may fold, and one why i would call.
Fold because - Villain may know i only need to win 33% of the time and so realises he has less F.E and therefore pushes with stronger hands that beat me.
Call because - Only raising 2% of hands is kind of stupid imo... Villain probably doesn't know what he is doing so may well bluff in this spot enough for a call to be profitable.
Don't forget Villain could think we are just raising him on flop with nothing and try and bluff us out of the pot on any scarecard as well!
So, do we Call or Fold?