[NL2-NL10] Nl100 Resteal w/ 77

    • kukkiwonBG
      kukkiwonBG
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.07.2008 Posts: 4,494
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (8 handed) - Poker-Stars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

      UTG+1 ($124)
      MP1 ($100)
      MP2 ($252.90)
      CO ($111.85)
      Button ($95.50)
      SB ($192.10)
      Hero (BB) ($20)
      UTG ($100)

      Villain have 11/10 and ATS 40 over 200 hands
      with what range I can push with +EV
      Something like A8o+, A6s+, KTs+, 66+ or?
      This sample size is not so big, but can I use it here?

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, 7
      5 folds, Button raises to $4, 1 fold, Hero raises to $20 (All-In), Button calls $16

      Flop: ($40.50) J, 5, 4 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Turn: ($40.50) 2 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: ($40.50) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: $40.50 | Rake: $2

      Results in white below:
      Button had A, Q (one pair, Aces).
      Hero had 7, 7 (one pair, sevens).
      Outcome: Button won $38.50
  • 4 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Without history, I would fold since 200 hands are no way enough for steals.

      But an ATS of 40 can be restealed break-even with a7o, a4s, kjo, kts 55+
    • kukkiwonBG
      kukkiwonBG
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.07.2008 Posts: 4,494
      Even without the ATS stats he have 10 PRF. So even if he don't get loose on LP I have something like %44.7 equity. And I'm sure that he is not calling with all of his range.
      Because he is on LP he may have even 12-14 PRF here, so have an edge.
      22+,A6s+,KQs,AJo+,KQo I have 50.1
      22+,A4s+,KQs,A8o+,KQo I have 51.8
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Well I still dont like to shove 77 due the fact you are pushing for 44% as you say with a 10 PFR % range. with a 14 PFR range I will push AQ+,99/88+
      77 is too marginal and high-variance
    • ysessa
      ysessa
      Basic
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      I would easily resteal here when the SB is tight, when the SB is a loose fish I fold. He only needs to steal something like 22% so against 2 tags in the blinds easy.