Could i justify a call?

    • craigjo
      craigjo
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.03.2011 Posts: 63
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: 126.8 BB (VPIP: 100.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 1)
      SB: 100 BB
      BB: 98.5 BB
      UTG: 132.4 BB (VPIP: 25.00, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 4)
      Hero (MP): 67.4 BB
      CO: 453.7 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 1)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:diamond: 7:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold

      Flop: (7.5 BB, 2 players) 9:club: 8:spade: 6:heart:
      Hero bets 6.1 BB, BTN raises to 123.8 BB and is all-in, fold

      BTN wins 18.8 BB
  • 7 replies
    • bennisboy
      bennisboy
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.04.2011 Posts: 711
      Nope, assuming villain only has a pair, you have roughly 1:4.875 odds to win the hand.

      The pot odds are roughly 1:1.22

      You will lose in the long run

      Recommend reading this article:

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com/strategy/others/2279/1/

      & this

      http://www.pokerstrategy.com/strategy/others/2290/1/
    • craigjo
      craigjo
      Bronze
      Joined: 21.03.2011 Posts: 63
      This helps thanks.
    • VorpalF2F
      VorpalF2F
      Super Moderator
      Super Moderator
      Joined: 02.09.2010 Posts: 8,903
      Hi, craigjo,
      The tool "Equilab" is great for stuff like this.

      This the output comparing the equity of your hand with a range I just made up.
      Download Equilab and try out some of your own...


      Board: 9:club: 8:spade: 6:heart:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    47.61%  42.95%   4.67% { Ad7d }
      MP3    52.39%  47.72%   4.67% { AJs+, A9s-A8s, A6s, KJs, K9s-K8s, K6s, Q8s+, Q6s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, AJo+, A9o-A7o, KJo, K9o-K7o, Q7o+, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o }


      As you can see, you are slightly behind, and have only 8 outs -- not all of which may even be any good.

      Interestingly, see what happens if you change two of those flop cards to diamonds:

      Board: 9:club: 8:diamond: 6:diamond:
             Equity     Win     Tie
      MP2    65.97%  62.96%   3.01% { Ad7d }
      MP3    34.03%  31.02%   3.01% { AJs+, A9s-A8s, A6s, KJs, K9s-K8s, K6s, Q8s+, Q6s, T9s, 98s, 87s, 76s, 65s, AJo+, A9o-A7o, KJo, K9o-K7o, Q7o+, JTo, T9o, 98o, 87o, 76o }


      Cheers,
      --VS
    • RakeVictim
      RakeVictim
      Basic
      Joined: 27.03.2014 Posts: 199
      snap calling here, with all this dead monies folding is out of question. If you decide to bet flop why in hell fold after raise? Don't bet it if you dont want to gamble.
      lol at guys who says fold.

      btw buy in full
    • CreamyGoodness
      CreamyGoodness
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.10.2010 Posts: 229
      Originally posted by bennisboy
      you have roughly 1:4.875 odds to win the hand.
      Roughly? lool!

      OP, your fold is correct. If you had info on the villain that he was a maniac who would do this with random over like KJ, or just a 6, maybe you can call. Fold is cool though.

      More importantly, why were you playing 60bb? Are you playing a small or medium stack strategy, or do you buy in for 100bb and not top up?

      If you buy in for 100bb, keep topping up.
    • WpIoNker
      WpIoNker
      Bronze
      Joined: 11.06.2014 Posts: 11
      lol
    • CustardKid
      CustardKid
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.05.2014 Posts: 171
      I would say he is at the top of his range with a 7T I think your drawing to a split pot most of the time you should fold this