[NL2-NL10] NL10 AT, Villain pushing any two

    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      Can I call this villain shoving almost any two nearly every hand?

      $0.05/$0.1 No Limit Holdem
      8 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG sensuiseikoki ($10.00)
      UTG+1 butter12 ($1.80)
      MP1 lefty78 ($22.18)
      MP2 astrahanka ($1.79)
      CO absolutvoll ($1.50)
      BTN Hero ($10.03)
      SB Poppu73 ($6.21)
      BB Guillo01 ($15.22)

      Pre-flop: ($0.15, 8 players) Hero is BTN A:club: T:heart:
      3 folds, astrahanka goes all-in $1.79, 1 fold, $1.79 to Hero ($10.03)?


      Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

      2,097,572,400 games 0.047 secs 44,629,200,000 games/sec

      Board:
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 62.722% 61.57% 01.15% 1291435142 24196974.50 { AcTd }
      Hand 1: 37.278% 36.12% 01.15% 757743309 24196974.50 { random }
  • 10 replies
    • kukkiwonBG
      kukkiwonBG
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.07.2008 Posts: 4,494
      His hand is not random. There is some order to his madness.
      If he is shoving "any two" you can put him on range like this. Ax, any PP, Kxs, any broadway cards, maybe some middle SC. It is best to assume the worse case. So vs. {22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q9s+,JTs,T9s,98s,87s,A2o+,K8o+,QTo+,JTo} you have 56.5% equity and you need 50.5% BE {with rake}.

      So calling is good. The BE range is {22+,A2s+,KJs+,A4o+,KQo}

      But still you must consider that calling is not the best, because you have the blinds behind you. And if you shove for isolation there is a chance of big hands killing you. So the variance will be a little bigger.

      But living the free money is a big sin.

      Best regards,
      kukkiwonBG
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      I only choose to write he was pushing any two because he had been pushing nearly every hand.
      So, it would be best to put villain always on a tighter range than what it actually is because of variance?

      "But living the free money is a big sin"????
      What do you mean?

      Also what does BE stand for?

      Thankyou for your evaluation kukkiwonBG.
    • kukkiwonBG
      kukkiwonBG
      Bronze
      Joined: 27.07.2008 Posts: 4,494
      I mean that if he is pushing very light there your hand is way ahead and will be bad to let some one else to stack him first.

      BE = Break even equity
      This is the equity that you need to have to be you decision a break even one

      So if you need 50% BE, a 51% equity will be an +EV

      Put the villain ot the thigher range to be sure that you bet/call/shove/fold is an the maximum EV move.
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      I insta-call this SS maniac. Only KK, AA or an idiot will raise behind, and even then you have outs.
    • srohack
      srohack
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 1,908
      hi
      at is far ahead of his range so call is right
      gl
    • srohack
      srohack
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 1,908
      sory posted twice ;D
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      Thats ok srohack.
      Just dont do it again, ;)

      Thankyou.
      I called and stacked him :)
    • armo
      armo
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.03.2008 Posts: 451
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Only KK, AA or an idiot will raise behind, and even then you have outs.
      I would raise behind more hands than just KK+ because
      - shorty maniac does not have a hand
      - caller does not really show strength by just calling (and not raising or pushing) and his range could be pretty wide because caller knows that shorty has no hand

      So I guess I would raise the caller here something like TT+/AK. I would tighten if someone raises over shorty push to something like QQ+/AKs
    • TheBrood
      TheBrood
      Bronze
      Joined: 17.07.2008 Posts: 4,383
      Originally posted by armo
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Only KK, AA or an idiot will raise behind, and even then you have outs.
      I would raise behind more hands than just KK+ because
      - shorty maniac does not have a hand
      - caller does not really show strength by just calling (and not raising or pushing) and his range could be pretty wide because caller knows that shorty has no hand

      So I guess I would raise the caller here something like TT+/AK. I would tighten if someone raises over shorty push to something like QQ+/AKs
      Yea I realized that after re-reading the thread...
    • justkyle88
      justkyle88
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 7,598
      Originally posted by armo
      Originally posted by TheBrood
      Only KK, AA or an idiot will raise behind, and even then you have outs.
      I would raise behind more hands than just KK+ because
      - shorty maniac does not have a hand
      - caller does not really show strength by just calling (and not raising or pushing) and his range could be pretty wide because caller knows that shorty has no hand

      So I guess I would raise the caller here something like TT+/AK. I would tighten if someone raises over shorty push to something like QQ+/AKs
      Exactly what I was thinking.