[NL2-NL10] NL100 Do I win here less than 18% of the time?

    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Party Poker
      No Limit Holdem Ring game
      Blinds: $0.50/$1
      10 players
      Converter

      Stack sizes:
      UTG: $20
      UTG+1: $129.15
      UTG+2: $12.86
      MP1: $105.13
      MP2: $20
      MP3: $25.40
      CO: $127.63
      Button: $25.83
      SB: $87.63
      Hero: $17.50

      Pre-flop: (10 players) Hero is BB with 8 9
      4 folds, MP2 (poster) checks, MP3 calls, 2 folds, SB calls, Hero (poster) checks.

      Flop: 9 2 7 ($4, 4 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets $3, SB folds, Hero calls, MP2 calls.

      Turn: 4 ($13, 3 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 checks.

      River: Q ($13, 3 players)
      Hero checks, MP2 checks, MP3 bets $3, Hero calls, MP2 folds.

      Results:
      Final pot: $19


      The thread title refers to the riverbet which i think i have to call here.
  • 5 replies
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      No stats? Easy fold

      If you have stats through Elephant, please post these instead of a converter because on NL100, you should provide stats ;)
    • Nunki
      Nunki
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.10.2006 Posts: 865
      Your hand has got to be easily good enough here versus a fishy-stacked-limper.
    • DaPhunk
      DaPhunk
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.03.2008 Posts: 2,805
      Oh, sorry about the no stats thing. Elephant has stopped grabbing the hands i want very easily. The HUD Menu never comes up in time so i have to copy out of the HH and convert it.

      The guy betting here had quite a largevpip and wts and i've seen him making flop bluffbets frequently. He normally gives up afterwards though so i wasn't sure about river.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Well then I think you can call it down because its only $3 for a $16 pot. Its because he is In position I think he makes a bluffbet or a valuebet, either way I think you have to win 1 out of 4 times to be profitable
    • ysessa
      ysessa
      Basic
      Joined: 11.07.2008 Posts: 1,331
      i dont like your flop call here, you cant controll the pot and cant call a 2nd bet