[NL2-NL10] NL25, BB, 77, resteal

  • 4 replies
    • Onedinkenedi
      Onedinkenedi
      Bronze
      Joined: 18.07.2007 Posts: 9
      IMO you cannot count on the 67 ORL (samplesize is 32 which means you only played 3 rounds against him, from which he OpenRaised 2/3 times – 3-4 out of 5-6 times).
      Xarry says, ORL gets halfway-precise around 500-1000 hands samplesize !!!

      His PFR is 19; equilator says you must have 88+ to have +EV.
      So 77 is a slight underdog against his range (of course samplesize only gives us tendency).
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Even 19 PFR is inaccurate so you cannot rely on stats.

      Therefore stick to basic SSS and only resteal with AQ+,TT+ if you had this read, in this manner you are assured you are +EV

      And besides, you have 24bb, why pushing those for only 1 bb with a mediocre holding on the SHC?
      - Gerv
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      I also think I should be more careful with 24BB stack. But I just hate it when people think they can push me around as they want just because I'm a short stack.

      I know the stats are somehow useless, but I was watching tables, dude was ORLing BU, CO and MP3 for the last two rounds and with PFR of 19 his raise on late position will be much looser. Usually you can multiply it with 1,5, so 19x1,5 would be around 28 and agaisnt that range I have 4,5% advantage in equity.

      And besides, I wasn't risking 24BB for 1BB, but actually for 1BB of mine and 3,5BB of his. :)
    • IngolPoker
      IngolPoker
      Black
      Joined: 05.09.2006 Posts: 10,467
      Originally posted by Gerv
      Even 19 PFR is inaccurate so you cannot rely on stats.

      Therefore stick to basic SSS and only resteal with AJ+,88+ if you had this read, in this manner you are assured you are +EV

      - Gerv
      Fixed your post ;)