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[NL2-NL10] AA nl4 fr heart flop

    • jachis
      jachis
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.04.2008 Posts: 745
      $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Holdem
      8 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      Hero (UTG) ($3.88)
      UTG+1 ($3.52)
      MP1 ($2.70)
      MP2 ($4.78)
      CO ($1.89)
      BTN ($4.20)
      SB ($6.88)
      BB ($4.06)

      Pre-flop: ($0.06, 8 players) Hero is UTG A:club: A:spade:
      Hero raises to $0.16, 4 folds, BTN raises to $0.28, 2 folds, Hero raises to $1.16, BTN calls $0.88

      Flop: 9:heart: 5:heart: 2:heart: ($2.38, 2 players)
      Hero goes all-in $2.72, BTN calls $2.72

      Turn: J:spade: ($7.82, 2 players)

      River: 4:club: ($7.82, 2 players)

      Is the push on the flop any good? Any bet would commit me to the pot.
  • 2 replies
    • dallievas
      dallievas
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.11.2007 Posts: 822
      Hi,
      nice hand for me.You are committed on flop but you have 2 ways(imho):
      1) ch/f because you don't have any :heart: ,opp can have fd -very very safe
      way.
      2) do as you did and hope to win odds contest.Often you will see other overpair.
      Equity against normal range:
      Board: 9h 5h 2h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 69.215% 66.65% 02.56% 14517 558.00 { AcAs }
      Hand 1: 30.785% 28.22% 02.56% 6147 558.00 { AA, KdKh, QQ-JJ, AKs, AKo }

      Against tight range(KK):
      Board: 9h 5h 2h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 57.879% 57.88% 00.00% 573 0.00 { AcAs }
      Hand 1: 42.121% 42.12% 00.00% 417 0.00 { KdKh }

      against other AdAh:
      Board: 9h 5h 2h
      Dead:

      equity win tie pots won pots tied
      Hand 0: 31.818% 00.00% 31.82% 0 315.00 { AcAs }
      Hand 1: 68.182% 36.36% 31.82% 360 315.00 { AdAh }

      so big threat to you is another AA.Probability to get AA before the flop is 0.45% or 220:1.
      Usually in 3bet pots tptk,overpair you should play from stack.
      Good luck ;)
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Nh.
      It is easy shove.