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[NL2-NL10] Nl10 Ak

    • jenoc
      jenoc
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      SB:
      $6,25
      Hero:
      $1,95

      0,05/0,1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this


      poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.65 by www.pokerstrategy.com.


      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A:heart: , K:club:
      3 folds, Hero raises to $0,40, 3 folds, SB calls $0,35, BB folds.

      Flop: ($0,90) 5:heart: , 3:club: , 5:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $0,50, SB raises to $1,60, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $1,90

      I'm sticking to basic SSS, it says- fold. But yesterday I posted a hand where I had good odds, but made a fold, how about this one?
  • 3 replies
    • matt1234
      matt1234
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.05.2008 Posts: 99
      Hard to respond without stats but:

      6 outs against a PP (not AA, KK, 55, 33) which is around 3:1.
      Ahead against any non-pocket pair.
      Dead to 5, 3, AA, KK.
      Pot odds: just under 3:1.

      Depends on reads, but marginal fold imo.
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      On this flop I'd say the villain most likely holds a PP, so you will have 6 clean outs against him...

      With 6 outs you would need 3:1 odds to make the call profitable.

      And your pot odds are...

      0,90 + 0,50 + 1,55 : 1,05

      2,81 : 1

      So, you see, your odds are not good enough to make a call here and in this calculation is rake also not included, so real odds are about 2% worse than those...

      Maybe someone could check if my calculation was correct, cause it's kinda late here... :rolleyes:
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello Jenoc,


      You got 2.81:1 to call and with around 6 outs, you need 3.1:1 to be profitable.

      So you have to fold here otherwise you are losing money in the long run. However I think you can solve this problem by betting more on the Flop as a continuation bet.

      Sometimes a bigblind can make the difference between Profitable Play and Unprofitable Play (-EV).

      If you bet like $0.6 here instead of $0.5 and all the actions after your bet stays the same, you get $0.6+$0.9+$1.55(<-Your Effective Stack) against $0.95

      which is 3.21:1 and you can definitly call then.

      So I can recommend continuation betting (2/3) of the Pot, if you have to round it off, round it up. So when you have to bet $0.57 as a continuation bet, bet $0.6 instead of $0.55 or even worse: $0.5.

      - Gerv