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[NL20-NL50] NL25FR: monster draw in 3bet pot

    • Kruppe
      Kruppe
      Black
      Joined: 20.02.2008 Posts: 2,145
      CB or bet flop?


      Full Tilt Poker
      $0.10/$0.25 NL Hold'em Cash Game
      8 Players
      LeggoPoker.com - Hand History Converter

      Kruppe (UTG): $27.70
      UTG+1: $12.30
      MP1: $23.10
      MP2: $12.80
      CO: $23.40
      BTN: $16.80
      SB: $44.70
      BB: $14.75

      Pre-Flop: Q:club: A:club: dealt to Kruppe (UTG)
      Kruppe raises to $1
      UTG+1 folds
      MP1 folds
      MP2 folds
      CO folds
      BTN folds
      SB folds
      BB raises to $2.50
      Kruppe calls $1.50

      Flop: ($5.10) 2:club: T:diamond: 5:club: (2 Players)
      BB checks
      Kruppe bets $3.25
      BB raises to $8
      Kruppe raises to $12.75
      BB calls $4.25 and is All-In

      Turn: ($29.60) 2:club: T:diamond: 5:club: [ 7:spade: ] (2 Players - 1 is All-In)

      River: ($29.60) 2:club: T:diamond: 5:club: 7:spade: [ 2:heart: ] (2 Players - 1 is All-In)
  • 3 replies
    • darkonebg
      darkonebg
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 17.01.2008 Posts: 9,508
      This is not a monster draw. In fact, it isnt even a strong one, as you cant really count your overcard outs against his 3bet range. You are still 47% favorite against something standart like QQ+, AQs+, AKo, so bet/shoving is fine.
    • Kruppe
      Kruppe
      Black
      Joined: 20.02.2008 Posts: 2,145
      Originally posted by darkonebg
      This is not a monster draw. In fact, it isnt even a strong one, as you cant really count your overcard outs against his 3bet range. You are still 47% favorite against something standart like QQ+, AQs+, AKo, so bet/shoving is fine.
      I would call FD alone a strong draw.

      In this situation I usually have 12 or 15 outs. I have 15 against JJ, 12 against QQ-KK, 8/7 against TT.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Consider oppoennt stack size bet/shove is fine on the flop.