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[NL20-NL50] NL50 FR - Nut flush Draw + TP

    • VTomukas
      VTomukas
      Bronze
      Joined: 30.12.2007 Posts: 252
      $0.25/$0.5 No Limit Holdem
      10 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($10.00)
      UTG 1 ($49.90)
      UTG 2 ($17.11)
      MP1 ($47.70)
      MP2 ($45.78)
      MP3 ($49.00)
      Hero (CO) ($47.50)
      BTN ($33.00)
      SB ($9.50)
      BB ($59.04)
      [Hero posted $0.75]

      Pre-flop: ($1.50, 10 players) Hero is CO J:spade: A:spade:
      1 fold, UTG 1 raises to $1.50, 4 folds, Hero calls $1, 2 folds, BB calls $1

      Flop: 3:spade: A:heart: Q:spade: ($5, 3 players)
      BB bets $1.50, UTG 1 raises to $7, Hero ...??

      UTG - 29/7/1.25 - but only on 30 hands.
      BB - 86/28/3.8 - but only 35 hands. Well, no big diff with his current stats :D

      Preflop call was indicated as I've paid to return after force computer restart, (not sure, I think there was at least one force BB bet too, but hand history didn't showed that), so there I had better call odds than on "usual" situation "AJs against the raise".

      On flop I have nut flush draw and top pair with decent kicker. I can see only three hand I'm far behind - AA, QQ and AQ. I'm ahead against any two other pairs, I'm even ahead of set of 3 (well, almost 50/50 there). So I can't fold there? I can't call there too, since this is reverse implied odds situation? I don't think I will get paid a lot on a spade turn, but I will have much worse odds to call turn bet (mostly I'm talking about UTG+1, I'm pretty sure I have huge +EV against BB range). Also - almost the same, if I raise, and get called - I will have very hard turn decision coming, if no spade or J will come.

      Actually after some consideration I saw only one decision - I made a push there. But isn't it a situation "will only get called by a better hand?". In that case seems, there's no good decision in this situation at all :D

      Bad decision/good decision? Any other decisions possible?
  • 9 replies