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[NL2-NL10] Nl100 A7o

  • 9 replies
    • wuusaa
      wuusaa
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2007 Posts: 455
      Easy Push.
      The only problem could be: You have less than 1000 Hands from SB, so the Fold BB to Steal figure is not accurate yet.

      But:

      You just need 42% Equity here to push profitable.

      We give the SB a Raise Range of 28%:
      22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo
      I think this is realistic.

      Against this Range, you have 45% Equity.
      So i would push it


      Edit:
      I don't like calling with A7o here against this loose opponent.
      If you dont hit the flop....
    • Nunki
      Nunki
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.10.2006 Posts: 865
      Originally posted by Gerv
      Or can I even think about calling ?
      You can think all you like but you have to be able to come up with some sort of strategy to counter a lot of open-shoving on the flop from villain.

      Pick a range, raise or fold PF.
    • allizdoR
      allizdoR
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2007 Posts: 4,568
      Originally posted by wuusaa
      Easy Push.
      The only problem could be: You have less than 1000 Hands from SB, so the Fold BB to Steal figure is not accurate yet.

      But:

      You just need 42% Equity here to push profitable.

      We give the SB a Raise Range of 28%:
      22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo
      I think this is realistic.

      Against this Range, you have 45% Equity.
      So i would push it


      Edit:
      I don't like calling with A7o here against this loose opponent.
      If you dont hit the flop....
      I would fold... calling would be very agressive for NL100... and of course I dont believe the texas grabem stats (looks like a samplesize of 3 hands)

      I also fold this very often on NL400+ because 42% EQ is a lot.

      I would only call, if he do this min3-bet very often and I have a good playable hand, like a SC.

      77+ A8s+ KJs+ QJs+ A9o, KQo and I think this is already a loose 3-bet range on nl100. most think he will only call.
    • wuusaa
      wuusaa
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2007 Posts: 455
      you think its too aggressive to push because we have no good Foldequity ?

      I think i 'm too loose in steal and blindvsblind situations and i am loosing money here.

      Can i ask you about your Stats about this...
      -ats (co/bu/sb)
      -fbbts, fsbts
    • allizdoR
      allizdoR
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.01.2007 Posts: 4,568
      samplesize 300k
      19/29/54

      88/83


      at the moment it should be 25/30/40 and 82/78 something like this.
      but its also depends on your site and limit.

      also fold 75% to steal could be a good value.
    • matt1234
      matt1234
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.05.2008 Posts: 99
      Be pointing out that if you push he calls with quite possibly any pair or better ace. If you take it down after pushing you win a small pot, if he calls you will probably lose a big one.

      Fwiw I fold here, too many times dominated and I like playing ABC poker. Game theory is about decisions. The fewer and more simple, the more profitable you will be.
    • wuusaa
      wuusaa
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.05.2007 Posts: 455
      thats true matt.
      but Theory is: You put your opponent on a Range and look if you have the needed equity with your HoldingHand against this Range.
    • IngolPoker
      IngolPoker
      Black
      Joined: 05.09.2006 Posts: 10,485
      i'm not sure if he really 3bets that much....if he does its obv. good to push ;)

      why do you actually raise with this maniac in the sb?
    • matt1234
      matt1234
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.05.2008 Posts: 99
      That's the theory certainly, having said that I don't think the range is correct anywho. Would the SB really make a mine 3-bet OOP knowing he is giving good odds to call vs an SS with A2?

      I prefer this range, 44+, A7o+, KT+, QTo+, JTo, A7s+, KTs+, JTs which gives 40.9% < 42% and therefore I call/fold pre. AllizdoR's range is even tighter than this.

      I prefer to use the 10.5:3 pot odds, being as though the odds of hitting a pair on the flop are better than this. If you pair any card on most boards I believe you will be ahead.