[NL2-NL10] nl 50 99

    • alejandrosh
      alejandrosh
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.07.2008 Posts: 4,346
      I should have called this , right?

      utg stats: again , no sample size like 8/2 in 40 hands ... shortie


      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $10,00
      BB:
      $10,75
      Hero:
      $8,50
      MP2:
      $18,25
      MP3:
      $95,35
      CO:
      $119,75
      BU:
      $51,55

      0,25/0,5 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.65 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with 9:club: , 9:diamond:
      UTG1 calls $0,50, UTG2 folds, Hero raises to $2,50, 6 folds, UTG1 raises to $8,50 (All-In), Hero folds, UTG1 gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $5,75
  • 4 replies
    • gambleris
      gambleris
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.11.2007 Posts: 82
      My personal experience says that it is good fold. Usually UTG call then 3 bet line means AA/KK. Now he is tight, maybe limping too much, and shortie... I dont think u can beat anythin here.

      In my calculations you need at least 31.25 percent equity and here you can expect AA/KK, maybe QQ so have just 19 percent
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Originally posted by gambleris
      In my calculations you need at least 23 percent equity
      I only get this:
      $8.5+$2.5+$0.75]x.95 :: $6
      =
      1.86:1
      =
      34.9%

      I'd say call his push and note down how he plays becuase no sample = stick to basic SSS and remaining stack:raise ratio is beneath 2.5.

      Also you are 2% the real equity against AK+,JJ+ but I rely more on the stack:raise ratio.

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • gambleris
      gambleris
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.11.2007 Posts: 82
      Yes, I made wrong calculation, you need 34.9 percent. I dissagree with Gerv to rely on stack:raise ratio. I think real equity is much more acurate. Having in mind that he limped UTG and his 8/2 stats i prefer folding here.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      <50 hands is for me an Unknown as explained by a review of Xarry concerning ''Hands you got of Villain''