[NL20-NL50] Qq Nl25 Sh

    • Balanarm
      Balanarm
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.07.2008 Posts: 17,163
      bet-fold flop?


      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $48,72
      BB:
      $52,27
      MP2:
      $18,87
      MP3:
      $21,49
      Hero:
      $26,24
      BU:
      $33,46

      0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.65 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is CO with Q:spade: , Q:club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to $1,00, 2 folds, BB calls $0,75.

      Flop: ($2,10) 2:spade: , 5:spade: , A:spade: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1,50, BB raises to $5,00, Hero raises to $25,24 (All-In), BB calls $20,24.

      Turn: ($52,58) 2:diamond:
      River: ($52,58) 4:heart: (2 players)


      Final Pot: $52,58
  • 2 replies
    • darkonebg
      darkonebg
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 17.01.2008 Posts: 9,508
      Ok, lets give him a raising range,assuming he's a decent player
      55, 22, AQs-A9s, A5s, A2s, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, Js9s, J6s-J5s, Ts9s, 9s8s, 9s7s, 8s7s, 8s6s, 7s6s, 6s5s, AdKs, AcKs, AQo, AhJs, AdJs, AcJs, AhTs, AdTs, AcTs, A9o, KsJh, KsJd, KsJc
      sets, two pairs, flushes, some aces,some bluffs,some K:sX hands.
      Thats around 12%.,
      Lets determine his calling shove range -
      55, 22, AKs, A5s, A2s, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, Js9s, Ts9s, 9s8s, 9s7s, 8s7s, 8s6s, 7s6s, 6s5s, AdKs, AcKs, AhJs, AdJs, AcJs, AhTs, AdTs, AcTs,
      sets, two pairs , flushes, some Aces with high spade cards.
      For around 8%.
      He will fold one in 3 times,giving you 8,6$.
      You are 33% against his calling range(in 2/3 times).
      The overall result is a -ev decision.
      Bet/fold is fine.
      Bet/call may be an option against an aggressive villain, as you are in position and can extract well if your draw hits.
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      Originally posted by darkonebg
      Ok, lets give him a raising range,assuming he's a decent player
      55, 22, AQs-A9s, A5s, A2s, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, Js9s, J6s-J5s, Ts9s, 9s8s, 9s7s, 8s7s, 8s6s, 7s6s, 6s5s, AdKs, AcKs, AQo, AhJs, AdJs, AcJs, AhTs, AdTs, AcTs, A9o, KsJh, KsJd, KsJc
      sets, two pairs, flushes, some aces,some bluffs,some K:sX hands.
      Thats around 12%.,
      Lets determine his calling shove range -
      55, 22, AKs, A5s, A2s, KsJs, KsTs, JsTs, Js9s, Ts9s, 9s8s, 9s7s, 8s7s, 8s6s, 7s6s, 6s5s, AdKs, AcKs, AhJs, AdJs, AcJs, AhTs, AdTs, AcTs,
      sets, two pairs , flushes, some Aces with high spade cards.
      For around 8%.
      He will fold one in 3 times,giving you 8,6$.
      You are 33% against his calling range(in 2/3 times).
      The overall result is a -ev decision.
      Bet/fold is fine.
      Bet/call may be an option against an aggressive villain, as you are in position and can extract well if your draw hits.
      Very nice analyze.
      Shove on the flop is terribel, he won´t call you with worse hands and it is likely that he won´t c/r with worse hands on that drawy board (if he is making the move he should check the turn)
      I´d call flop and fold turn ui.