[NL20-NL50] 68o river bet +EV?

    • Washdogg
      Washdogg
      Bronze
      Joined: 12.05.2008 Posts: 82
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $62.16
      BB:
      $51.19
      MP3:
      $27.31
      BU:
      $52.71

      0.25/0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (5 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 8:club: , 6:diamond:
      MP3 calls $0.50, CO folds, BU calls $0.50, Hero calls $0.25, BB checks.

      Flop: ($2.00) 4:heart: , 8:heart: , 6:spade: (4 players)
      Hero bets $2.00, BB folds, MP3 calls $2.00, BU folds.

      Turn: ($6.00) A:spade: (2 players)
      Hero bets $6.00, MP3 calls $6.00.

      River: ($18.00) 3:diamond: (2 players)
      Hero checks, MP3 checks.

      Final Pot: $18.00

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      Hero shows two pairs, eights and sixes (8c 6d)
      MP3 shows a pair of eights (Kd 8d)

      Hero wins with two pairs, eights and sixes (8c 6d)

      2 things, was the turn bet too big with a scare card hitting the board or did his high WTSD compensate because protection and his his WTSD coaxed me into firing another pot bet. Also, I'm thinking in hindsight that a river push would have probably been called by a lot of worse hands, on the other hand though, he probably is not going to bluff into a pot bigger than his stack especially with his AF. I'm thinking a small block-sized bet would've been best possibly about $5-$6 and call to a push?
  • 3 replies