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[NL2-NL10] NL25 AJs BU

    • jenoc
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      Known players:

      0.1/0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A:spade: , J:spade: . MP3 posts a blind of $0.35.
      3 folds, MP3 checks, CO folds, Hero raises to $1.25, SB folds, BB calls $1.00, MP3 folds.

      Flop: ($2.95) 5:spade: , K:club: , T:heart: (2 players)
      BB checks, Hero checks.

      Turn: ($2.95) K:spade: (2 players)
      BB bets $1.00, Hero calls $1.00.

      River: ($4.95) 9:heart: (2 players)
      BB bets $2.00, Hero folds, BB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $4.95

      On flop I didn't c-bet because there was just no point to do so- villain calls everything, decided better for a free card.

      On turn- I decided for calling- if hit my card there is high chance that I can still easily get it in on river against such villain. If river is blank, I can easily lay down my hand.

      Somehow this is very passive play, what do you think?

  • 4 replies
    • dandycal
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Wasn't it worth it to keep betting even if you had to go to showdown with A high? His stats seem ridiculous, he could be calling you with anything.

      C-bet is standard in this case anyway.
    • alejandrosh
      Joined: 02.07.2008 Posts: 4,346
      assuming he check-calls our push with his hole range:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 37,665 % 36,933 % 1,464 % 61,603 % Random
      Player 2: 62,335 % 61,603 % 1,464 % 36,933 % AsJs


      he is at least agressive enough to bet some good hands and he will fold something on the flop (I guess, it's hard without his fold to Cbet%)

    • Gerv
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello Jenoc,

      How about shove Turn with Ace high with a chance of making your flush, gutshotting your straight or making TopPair or Middle pair with your jack since the 2nd King is out making it unlikely he has the king?

      So with that being said your outs are more or less: 9+3+3+3 = 18 outs.

      Best regards,
    • dandycal
      Joined: 10.10.2008 Posts: 1,711
      Wow, yeah, I didn't realize all the draws you had. You have a monster on turn, shove definitely.