# [NL20-NL50] NL25SH KJ, pretty obvious bluff

• Bronze
Joined: 04.01.2008
Known players:
Position:
Stack
CO:
\$25,00
Hero:
\$28,97

0,1/0,25 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is BU with K , T
2 folds, CO raises to \$0,50, Hero raises to \$2,50, 2 folds, CO calls \$1,75.

Flop: (\$5,10) 2 , 5 , 7 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero checks.

Turn: (\$5,10) 3 (2 players)
CO checks, Hero bets \$3,25, CO raises to \$6,50, Hero folds.

Final Pot: \$14,85

check it down?
• 5 replies
Joined: 17.01.2008
cbet after he checks.
Turncard is not good for a delayed cbet.
As played,I might shove here
• Bronze
Joined: 09.03.2007
The same as darkonebg, except I'm not shoving

Let's make some calculations. Let's assume that whenever he calls you, you're beat. I think that's reasonable
You're making \$14,85 when he folds and you're losing 23,22 when he calls.

In order to break even:
EV = 14,85*FE - 23,22*(1-FE)
0 = 14,85FE - 23,22 + 23,22FE
23,22 = 38,07FE
FE = 0,61

So he's gotta fold 61% of the hands for you to break even with that move.

I think it's possible he's folding that much
Joined: 17.01.2008
You actually forget that we are rarely drawing dead, even if called.So we have at least one over to hit.
Still, I am not advising you to shove here.I'd not do it against an unknown either.
• Bronze
Joined: 09.03.2007
That's true. I didn't consider that into my calculations.

I think it would be decent to give us some outs
• Bronze
Joined: 02.02.2007
Originally posted by darkonebg
cbet after he checks.
Turncard is not good for a delayed cbet.
As played,I might shove here
+1
I think shove is a little bad. He would likely call with any pair, since your line doesnt make any sense.