# EV calculation in strategy article

• Bronze
Joined: 13.10.2008
Hi,
I have been rereading the silver strategy articles lately and found a possible mistake. :-)
I already commented on it under the article, but no one responded so far.

In the article you present this formula for computing the EV of a contibet:
EV= Fold equity * Pot – (100-Fold equity) * Costs
EV= 40% * \$100 - 60% * \$50
EV= \$40 - \$30
EV= \$10

Thus if you make a conti-bet, the average profit is \$10.
and then you compare this EV to the EV of checking behind and taking a free card where you have about 17 % of improving and making the best hand.

In this formula you expect to loose every time the villain calls while we should still have the 17 % chance of improving to the best hand which increases the EV by around \$15 because we win \$200 pot where we just paid \$50 more hence it is 0,6 (villain calls) * 0,17 (we improve) * (200 - 50).
(I made a mistake about the amount in the original comment under the article.)

I would like to find out whether I understand something wrongly or whether there is really a mistake.
• 2 replies
• Bronze
Joined: 20.02.2008
Hey there Meiffert,

Thank you for pointing this out. I have passed it on to the author so he can give a statement to it himself

Best regards
SoyCD
• Black
Joined: 25.06.2005
hi

i am the autor of this article and i´ll have a look for this. (please excuse my english ==> i didnt translate the article )