[NL2-NL10] Nut Flush vs. All-in

    • FlipJi
      FlipJi
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.11.2005 Posts: 20
      Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (9 handed) FTR converter on zerodivide.cx

      saw flop|saw showdown

      Hero ($9.55)
      Button ($10.15)
      SB ($7.30)
      BB ($2.01)
      UTG ($9.50)
      UTG+1 ($66.15)
      MP1 ($7.85) (20.6; 4.2; 0.7) winning player over 500 hands
      MP2 ($11.11)
      MP3 ($14.65)

      Preflop: Hero is CO with 9:club: , A:club: . SB posts a blind of $0.05.
      2 folds, MP1 calls $0.10, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.5, 3 folds, MP1 calls $0.40.

      Flop: ($1.15) 2:club: , J:club: , 2:heart: (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $0.6, MP1 calls $0.60.

      Turn: ($2.35) T:diamond: (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($2.35) 7:club: (2 players)
      MP1 checks, Hero bets $2, MP1 is all-in $6.75

      Hero?
  • 6 replies
    • UBPlayer
      UBPlayer
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.01.2005 Posts: 481
      easy call
    • eplc
      eplc
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2005 Posts: 8,667
      Original von UBPlayer
      easy call
      #2
      The board doesn't even pair on the river, you could just lose against a runner runner or slowplayed fh.
    • nikonyo
      nikonyo
      Black
      Joined: 22.01.2005 Posts: 1,562
      I just call that preflop

      the continuation bet should be bigger, 2/3 pot at least because you want other flushdraws to make wrong calls :)

      as played easy call on the river, I put him on a flushdraw, AJ,KJ maybe QJ or 2x, if he had 72 or T2 and called your preflop raise you have a new buddy :)
    • FlipJi
      FlipJi
      Bronze
      Joined: 01.11.2005 Posts: 20
      AJ and KJ might be possible up to the river, but why would he raise me all-in when I make it pretty clear that I have the flush?

      Well, he was in fact holding JJ and I lost to his full house ;-)
    • eplc
      eplc
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2005 Posts: 8,667
      Original von FlipJi
      AJ and KJ might be possible up to the river, but why would he raise me all-in when I make it pretty clear that I have the flush?

      Well, he was in fact holding JJ and I lost to his full house ;-)
      Maybe just bad slowplay, flush K high, two pair, etc.

      Since this wasn't my money I'm proud of my read putting him on a slowlplayed fh :D . Still it's really an easy call.
    • LastEmu
      LastEmu
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.02.2006 Posts: 196
      Even after seeing the results, I call this. Calling $4.75 for $11.10, gives you ~2:1.

      As far as his range, you're ahead of his K-xs or Qx-s (15 possible hands), as well as any overpair he might have incorrectly slowplayed (AA-QQ) (16 hands), and beat only by pocket jacks or pocket tens(12 hands). I don't think a winning TAG would still be holding pocket 7s or 2s after your PFR. Since we are doubting that our opponent is bluffing, we'll discount that for now; you win the hand 31/43 times, giving you 1:~1.4 to win the hand, enough to make this +EV over the long run.

      Someone proof read the numbers there, I won't guarantee those ;P