[NL20-NL50] NL20 [47o] - Stealing vs NIT

    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Tried to steal vs NITs and got into hard spot... guy is 8/0 with ~150 hands, how would you have played that?

      $0.10/$0.20 No Limit Holdem
      7 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($23.32)
      UTG+1 ($19.80)
      MP ($3.10)
      CO ($12.30)
      Hero (BTN) ($21.93)
      SB ($5.79)
      BB ($15.57)

      Pre-flop: ($0.30, 7 players) Hero is BTN 4:heart: 7:diamond:
      4 folds, Hero bets $0.70, 1 fold, BB calls $0.50.

      Flop: 3:spade: 5:club: T:club: ($1.50, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, BB calls $1.20.

      Turn: 6:club: ($3.90, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $3, BB calls $3

      River: K:spade: ($9.90, 2 players)
      BB checks, Hero bets $5, BB bets $10.67, Hero folds
  • 4 replies
    • Kaitz20
      Kaitz20
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      You can´tr really fold straight there:)
      Getting that good pot odds it is imo call against his c/rai.
    • Katavich
      Katavich
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.07.2008 Posts: 176
      veriz only flush is stronger of your str8, and you have to call 5$ for 25$pot. that means that you have to win show for only 17% of time to make it EV+ . Absolutely call imo.
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      Could anyone explain me those calculation, I would appreciate that.
    • Katavich
      Katavich
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.07.2008 Posts: 176
      Originally posted by veriz
      Could anyone explain me those calculation, I would appreciate that.
      Invested money into pot is 25$ and you have to call 5$ to see showdown.

      This is easiest way to calculate it with calc:

      (Money you have to invest) / (Pot size) = How many money into % did you invested into pot

      In your case:

      5.67$ / 31.24$ = 0,18

      So you have to invest 18% of money into pot, and if you win pot 18% or more time, in long term
      you are making it profitable