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[NL2-NL10] Marginal Situation - Dead Money, QJo

    • Smileyphil
      Joined: 28.10.2008 Posts: 488
      Dead money makes this situation confusing. Can someone tell me if this analysis is correct?
      He is Short Stack player so assume his range to be 77+, AT+, QJs+.
      My equity against this range with JQo is 35%.
      So I have 35% chance to win $1.95 and 65% chance to lose $1.35.
      EV(push) = - $0.19.
      EV(fold) = - $0.10.
      Should have stayed out?

      Any further insights are of course welcomed!

      Known players:

      0.05/0.1 Pot-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by

      Preflop: Hero is BB with Q:diamond: , J:club:
      UTG2 folds, MP1 raises to $0.20, MP2 calls $0.20, MP3 folds, CO calls $0.20, BU folds, SB calls $0.15, Hero raises to $0.60, MP1 raises to $1.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.10, MP1 calls $0.35 (All-In), Hero gets uncalled bet back.

      Flop: ($3.30) 7:diamond: , 6:spade: , 6:diamond:
      Turn: ($3.30) T:diamond:
      River: ($3.30) 9:heart: (1 players)

      Final Pot: $3.30

      Results follow (highlight to see):
      Hero shows a pair of sixes (Qd Jc)
      MP1 shows a full-house, nines full of sixes (9d 9s)

      MP1 wins with a full-house, nines full of sixes (9d 9s)
  • 1 reply
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      I think his range is tighter, smt like TT+, AJ+, KQ
      I wouldn´t 3-bet pf, since your hand isn´t that good and once you get re-raised you have to call because of the pot odds.
      I´d just call pf getting that odds.
      If you re-raise and shortstack shows then you have to call because of your pot odds, but you should never want to put yourself into that situation where you´re üpto committed and you know that you´re behind.