TT in Position vs EP Raiser

    • mukmuk300
      mukmuk300
      Silver
      Joined: 07.04.2015 Posts: 18
      Hi all,
      what are your thoughts on this hand? Villian raised ~20% in EP with 86 hands.

      Pre: flatting here mainly for set value, hoping no squeeze behind.

      Flop: Missed set, expect him to c-bet 100% of hands here. I decide to float as there is some chance he gives up on turn and maybe I can steal the pot if a heart shows up, as I have a heart blocker and thus he is less likely to have a flush draw. Planning to give up if he barrels on turn and no heart.

      Turn: Q on turn makes me doubt he has a Q. Calling thinking might have best hand. Not sure if I should raise here, maybe getting an overpair to fold. Not sure, what do you think?

      River: 7 not significant imho. Not sure how to interpret >1/2 pot bet...

      Pacific, $20 Buy-in (60/120 blinds, 12 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: 4,014 (33.5 bb)
      BB: 14,315 (119.3 bb)
      UTG+1: 10,694 (89.1 bb)
      UTG+2: 15,788 (131.6 bb)
      Hero (MP1): 10,955 (91.3 bb)
      MP2: 4,155 (34.6 bb)
      MP3: 5,396 (45 bb)
      CO: 1,334 (11.1 bb)
      BTN: 10,037 (83.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP1 with :Th: :Ts:
      UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to 360, Hero calls 360, 6 folds

      Flop: (1,008) :Qh: :5h: :7s: (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets 650, Hero calls 650

      Turn: (2,308) :Qs: (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets 1,580, Hero calls 1,580

      River: (5,468) :7c: (2 players)
      UTG+2 bets 3,550, Hero calls 3,550

      Results: 12,568 pot
      Final Board: :Qh: :5h: :7s: :Qs: :7c:
      UTG+2 showed :Ac: :Qc: and won 12,568 (6,416 net)
      Hero showed :Th: :Ts: and lost (-6,152 net)
  • 1 reply
    • SDK1987
      SDK1987
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 32,820
      This seems like an interesting hand, but he has also some better pairs in his range on the turn. I would most likely fold here my TT or you have reads on him he’s 2nd barreling a lot as well with flush draws for example.

      Cheers,
      SDK1987