[NL2-NL10] NL50 A9s, BU

    • jenoc
      jenoc
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      SB stats are incomplete, PT shows: Vpip/PFR/WTS/AF/Fold SB to steal/hands 14.1/8.6/26.2/1.4/91.3/5062 hands
      No sample on BB

      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      SB:
      $51.05
      Hero:
      $11.45

      0.25/0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is BU with A:heart: , 9:heart:
      4 folds, Hero raises to $1.50, SB calls $1.25, BB folds.

      Flop: ($3.50) J:club: , 7:heart: , 9:club: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero bets $2.20, SB calls $2.20.

      Turn: ($7.90) 7:diamond: (2 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks.

      River: ($7.90) 2:diamond: (2 players)
      SB bets $4.50, Hero folds, SB gets uncalled bet back.

      Final Pot: $7.90

      On river he might hold some busted draws, but will a villain with 1.4 AF bet in such case? Maybe I can call here? Was not sure, so better fold. What would you do here?

      Jenoc
  • 5 replies
    • timukasr
      timukasr
      Bronze
      Joined: 26.05.2007 Posts: 1,820
      Seems like jack or 7 to me. Nh imo. Btw, keep away from guys whom you have 5k hands of stats O.o

      Oh, lol I thought this was HU forum, nvm what I said.
    • burek2000
      burek2000
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.11.2007 Posts: 3,105
      When a guy with 90% or more fold to ATS gives you action it's always good to be cautious. I think you can finish with the hand when he calls your c-bet. Imo he's slowplaying some monster or floating, but nevertheless I don't think you're ahead of his range 36%(the pot odds) of the time, so I would fold.
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hello Jenoc,

      Fold2cbet %? Your stats are too general to make a very accurate decision, I also like to know his River Aggression since you got 5k hands on him.

      I think either a c-bet Flop is okay but a delayed c-bet on the Turn might give you more information since he is just calling you with 91% fSB-2-steal

      Best regards,
      Gerv
    • jenoc
      jenoc
      Bronze
      Joined: 06.04.2008 Posts: 510
      Gerv,

      Villain folds toCbet 64% and River AF 2.3
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      I will call the river because he can call more than just TopPair, any PP/draws aren't really improving with 7 and 2

      Reraising him doesn't make sense on the River because only better hands will call you :)

      Best regards,
      Gerv