[NL20-NL50] Nl50 17

    • Talic
      Talic
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2008 Posts: 1,851
      Grabbed by Holdem Manager
      NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
      SB ($101)
      BB ($140)
      UTG ($50)
      UTG+1 ($66.47)
      Hero ($50)
      BTN ($46.13)

      Dealt to Hero 5:heart: A:heart:

      fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, SB calls $1.75, fold,

      FLOP ($4.50) 2:heart: 6:heart: 6:diamond:

      check, Hero bets $3.21, SB raises to $9, Hero raises to $23, SB calls $14,

      TURN ($50.50) 2:heart: 6:heart: 6:diamond: 3:diamond:

      check, check,

      RIVER ($50.50) 2:heart: 6:heart: 6:diamond: 3:diamond: J:club:

      check, check,

      SB 16/11/5.2 3bet/58 fold to c-bet/2.9AF/21wts

      turn:???
      I think its pretty obvious that opponent is on small overpair (this read you gain by his call the 4bet on flop, so please dont write "call flop IP", you just dont know what he has atm)

      I think hes not folding to shove on turn, neither river
  • 7 replies
    • csnmf
      csnmf
      Global
      Joined: 22.11.2006 Posts: 444
      The guy is playing 16/11 so his flop raise is so bad he is representing pocket 6's or pocket 2's which is so unlikely or a badly played low pocket pair which he is turning into a bluff therefore I really like your 3bet as it should get him to fold everything it's just too bad he's a calling station. I also just give up on the turn he's just not going to let it go.
    • Talic
      Talic
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2008 Posts: 1,851
      JUDGE!
    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      I do not like 3betting on flop because of the paired board so I prefer to call down his raise.
    • Diedobal
      Diedobal
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.10.2007 Posts: 558
      Shove turn.

      You have 15 outs (9flush, 3 Aces, 3 fours).

      He should never have a 6 here due to flopplay, most likely a pp 77-JJ or a worse flushdraw.

      So you have 15 outs, and 25$ left where pot is 50$.

      -> shove it in:

      If you push and get called you invested 25$ to win 100$ -> only need 25% equity, while your 15 outs give you 33%+ equity.

      If you push and he folds (possible with 77-88 hands) you have pure profit.
    • caltabiano
      caltabiano
      Bronze
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992
      Originally posted by Diedobal
      Shove turn.

      You have 15 outs (9flush, 3 Aces, 3 fours).

      He should never have a 6 here due to flopplay, most likely a pp 77-JJ or a worse flushdraw.

      So you have 15 outs, and 25$ left where pot is 50$.

      -> shove it in:

      If you push and get called you invested 25$ to win 100$ -> only need 25% equity, while your 15 outs give you 33%+ equity.

      If you push and he folds (possible with 77-88 hands) you have pure profit.
      +1
    • csnmf
      csnmf
      Global
      Joined: 22.11.2006 Posts: 444
      yea although i orginally said give up on turn I also agree with diedobal's analysis.
    • TribunCaesar
      TribunCaesar
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.04.2007 Posts: 13,264
      Originally posted by caltabiano
      Originally posted by Diedobal
      Shove turn.

      You have 15 outs (9flush, 3 Aces, 3 fours).

      He should never have a 6 here due to flopplay, most likely a pp 77-JJ or a worse flushdraw.

      So you have 15 outs, and 25$ left where pot is 50$.

      -> shove it in:

      If you push and get called you invested 25$ to win 100$ -> only need 25% equity, while your 15 outs give you 33%+ equity.

      If you push and he folds (possible with 77-88 hands) you have pure profit.
      +1
      this

      nothing to add.

      Best regards,
      TribunCaesar