AQs vs Fish Botsize bet river

    • RentzEst
      RentzEst
      Silver
      Joined: 05.09.2015 Posts: 92
      I called his river bet because , his betzise seemed to me suspicious.
      When watching his stats, it does not seem like a good player

      Winamax, $0.45 Buy-in (200/400 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: 31,972 (79.9 bb)
      BB: 19,140 (47.9 bb)
      UTG+2: 33,962 (84.9 bb)
      MP1: 14,845 (37.1 bb)
      Hero (MP2): 18,935 (47.3 bb)
      MP3: 24,603 (61.5 bb)
      CO: 45,023 (112.6 bb)
      BTN: 23,628 (59.1 bb) 96/20 (H:26) 3bet - 31

      Preflop: Hero is MP2 with :As: :Qs:
      2 folds, Hero raises to 948, 2 folds, BTN calls 948, 2 folds

      Flop: (2,896) :Qd: :9c: :4h: (2 players)
      Hero bets 1,390, BTN calls 1,390

      Turn: (5,676) :6s: (2 players)
      Hero bets 2,724, BTN calls 2,724

      River: (11,124) :Tc: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BTN bets 11,124, Hero calls 11,124

      Results:
      33,372 pot
      Final Board: :Qd: :9c: :4h: :6s: :Tc:
      Hero showed :As: :Qs: and lost (-16,236 net)
      BTN showed :Jh: :Kh: and won 33,372 (17,136 net)
  • 1 reply
    • SDK1987
      SDK1987
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 34,580
      His stats look fishy for sure. I would most likely bet more for value on every street to get the opportunity to shove for value on the river. If you bet like 2/3 pot on every street it will work for you.

      As played his pot size bet on the river is suspicious for sure, but we only beat a bluff I think and a fish could have 2 pair and even a straight sometimes and we need to win 1 out 3 times to make a call profitable and I don’t think that’s likely against a loose passive fish or you have good reads on him.

      Cheers,
      SDK1987