[NL2-NL10] NL20 - JJ on straight draw flop

    • TheBu11d0g
      TheBu11d0g
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.07.2008 Posts: 2,019
      This following hand has me 50/50 on whether i made a bad push after his cbet with the obvious straight draw available or whether it was a bad call by the villan.

      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy hand converter:

      Known players:
      BU:
      $3.51
      SB:
      $29.03
      BB:
      $7.89
      UTG1:
      $9.40
      UTG2:
      $22.71
      MP1:
      $11.39
      MP2:
      $3.40
      MP3:
      $3.30
      CO:
      $3.39

      $0.1/$0.2 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with J, J.
      4 folds, Hero raises to $0.80, 3 folds, BB calls.

      Flop: (17.00 SB) 5, 3, 4 (2 players)
      BB bets $1.20, Hero raises to $2.50(All-In), BB calls.

      Turn: (33.50 BB) 9 (2 players)

      River: (33.50 BB) 2 (2 players)

      Final Pot: 33.50 BB.

      Regards,

      -Steve
  • 4 replies
    • alejandrosh
      alejandrosh
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.07.2008 Posts: 4,346
      overpair = nuts
    • williamtywong
      williamtywong
      Bronze
      Joined: 19.01.2009 Posts: 123
      I think you must push, as played, given that you have overpair. I mean, you would play the same way with AA, KK, QQ.

      Even if he has OESD, that's 5:1, but based on your push at the flop,

      $1.70+$1.20+$2.50:$1.30 = $5.40:$1.30 = around 4:1

      so, the odds are still -ev for him I believe, esp. since you are all-in and he wont' be able to extract any more value from this hand even if he hits his draw.

      Cheers,

      William
    • Gerv
      Gerv
      Bronze
      Joined: 07.05.2008 Posts: 17,678
      Hi Bu11dog,

      Against an OESD you have 66% equity, against overpair 90% and against Ax also like 82%

      BB can call and donk with a wide variety of hands so dont mind of him having A2 or 76

      Shove accordingly,
      Gerv


      PS your Potsize is wrong with BBs and stuff, strange
    • TheBu11d0g
      TheBu11d0g
      Bronze
      Joined: 25.07.2008 Posts: 2,019
      Hey guys,

      Thanks for all the responses as you helped to clear up the doubts i was having about this one. I really need to improve on my maths i think :D

      @ Gerv - I noticed with th pot being in BB as well but its only started happening since i used the new PokerStrategy hand convertor. Weird indeed.

      Regards,

      -Steve