# [NL5] NL4 Shove EV+??

• Silver
Joined: 04.01.2008
Hello, First sorry for my english is not perfect but the french forum become more dead.
We havent more coach, no coaching nothing more.

So we play nl4 and villain is 27/11/ 3bt 2%. I estimate his range in the flop like this 99+ and I think i have 0% FE. Vesrsus this range i have 43% equity
I'll do EV calculation with this formule EV = (W%*\$W) – (L%*\$L) become of this site https://redchippoker.com/simple-poker-ev-calculator/

So EV= (0.43*29bb+59bb when villain call)-(0.57*59bb)= +4bb

I have right??

http://www.pokerhandreplays.com/view.php/id/8700377
• 3 replies
• Moderator
Moderator
Joined: 12.11.2008
I have moved your hand to our hand discussion forum. Then you get faster feedback.
Shoving the flop seems fine to me, but I doubt you have much fold equity when he bets pot size here, I also recommend raising pre-flop a little bit more with the dead blind in middle position.

Cheers,
SDK1987
• Moderator
Moderator
Joined: 27.01.2013
There is a small problem. You are risking 73bb when you shove, not 59. This shove is roughly break even, slightly on the negative side. Calculate the rake in and you are losing money with this play.
If you think you can get his stack in very often when you hit your flush OTT, then it is ok to call. Otherwise I would just fold.
• Silver
Joined: 04.01.2008
Originally posted by la55i
There is a small problem. You are risking 73bb when you shove, not 59. This shove is roughly break even, slightly on the negative side. Calculate the rake in and you are losing money with this play.
If you think you can get his stack in very often when you hit your flush OTT, then it is ok to call. Otherwise I would just fold.

Argghhh nice view i've completely forget to get his bet OTF.

Thx.

Also I like a lot your strategic vidéo.