This site uses cookies to improve your browsing experience. By continuing to browse the website, you accept such cookies. For more details and to change your settings, see our Cookie Policy and Privacy Policy. Close

[NL25] ATo turn weak TP into bluff

    • Bebabcsinya
      Bebabcsinya
      Gold
      Joined: 01.12.2016 Posts: 76
      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $0.25 BB (6 handed) - Converted at http://handhistoryconverter.com/

      MP ($39.83)
      CO ($24.36)
      Hero (Button) ($31.61)
      SB ($32.42)
      BB ($20.59)
      UTG ($25)

      Preflop: Hero is Button with 10, A
      1 fold, MP raises to $0.75, 1 fold, Hero raises to $2.25, 2 folds, MP calls $1.50

      Flop: ($4.85) K, 8, A (2 players)
      MP checks, Hero checks

      Turn: ($4.85) 3 (2 players)
      MP bets $3.25, Hero calls $3.25

      River: ($11.35) 6 (2 players)
      MP bets $5.42, Hero raises to $15, 1 fold

      Total pot: $22.19 | Rake: $1

      MP: 27/23/13.6 249 hand
      R1 MP: 26 (38)
      Fold to 3bet: 50 (6)
      WTSD: 38%
      Aggr: 40%
      F: 54
      T: 35
      R: 13
      Fold to fcbet: 33 (6)

      Preflop this is the worst Axo card which I would have used in this situation for 3bet
      So flop decided to checkback, no oesd-s possible and I am blocking many fd-s so I don't need to protect my hand that much. From now on my plan was to call one and fold if he bets the river.
      But on this 6s river I might have got a good bluff situation. I think I am definetely behind here most of the time. So call would be a -EV move. The question is will he fold enough AQ,AJ and even his two pairs enough to make a bluff here a +EV move?
  • 3 replies
    • la55i
      la55i
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Joined: 27.01.2013 Posts: 8,003
      When you check the flop I think he could be stabbing you very frequently OTT. His bet sizing OTR also suggests he often doesn't have a very strong hand, so I wouldn't say calling is a bad option. AX hands are blocked so I think his range should have more pocket pairs than AX hands. So now you are turning decent showdown value into a bluff.

      I can try to check this with a solver later today.
    • LemOn36
      LemOn36
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 07.02.2009 Posts: 1,987
      I don't like ATo 3 bet personally
      But I guess if you don't mix things up and 3bet just strong hands and flat BU a lot it could be all right

      And river I'd just jam the $5 extra in, put hands like AQ AJ under more pressure, I find that people fold disproportionately more when you make it 4x and an all-in
    • LemOn36
      LemOn36
      Coach
      Coach
      Joined: 07.02.2009 Posts: 1,987
      And I cbet 25-30% on the flop
      but this is just fine