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[NL5] Reraised OTT with a set

    • Hasseman92
      Joined: 18.11.2011 Posts: 37
      PokerStars - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      UTG+1: 101 BB (VPIP: 12.50, PFR: 10.42, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 49)
      MP: 218.4 BB (VPIP: 29.02, PFR: 18.13, 3Bet Preflop: 1.37, Hands: 195)
      MP+1: 97.6 BB (VPIP: 31.50, PFR: 19.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 204)
      CO: 139 BB (VPIP: 13.10, PFR: 10.22, 3Bet Preflop: 3.31, Hands: 316)
      BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 13.07, PFR: 11.93, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 179)
      Hero (SB): 106.2 BB
      BB: 98.6 BB (VPIP: 14.71, PFR: 8.82, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 68)
      UTG: 78 BB (VPIP: 0.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: -, Hands: 3)

      Hero posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has 8:diamond: 8:club:

      UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, MP+1 calls 1 BB, CO raises to 5 BB, fold, Hero calls 4.6 BB, BB calls 4 BB, UTG calls 4 BB, MP+1 calls 4 BB

      Flop: (25 BB, 5 players) 8:spade: J:club: Q:spade:
      Hero bets 16 BB, fold, fold, fold, CO calls 16 BB

      Turn: (57 BB, 2 players) 4:spade:
      Hero bets 26.4 BB, CO raises to 118 BB and is all-in, Hero calls 58.8 BB and is all-in

      River: (227.4 BB, 2 players) Q:diamond:

      Hero shows 8:diamond: 8:club: (Full House, Eights full of Queens)
      (Pre 20%, Flop 84%, Turn 77%)
      CO shows K:spade: K:heart: (Two Pair, Kings and Queens)
      (Pre 80%, Flop 16%, Turn 23%)
      Hero wins 218 BB

      Was it an easy call OTT?
  • 5 replies
    • la55i
      Joined: 27.01.2013 Posts: 7,952
      Yes this is a call. You need about 25% equity to make a profitable call. I think villain has some pair+draw type of bluffs here and we don't have to add many to get that 25%. If we would put villain on flushes only, then the answer would be no.
    • lfcmichael
      Joined: 30.10.2016 Posts: 166
      We’re putting in 25.9% of the pot and our chance of improving to a full house or quads is 10/46 = 21.7%. If we believe he can also have some bluffs and non-flush hands here, then we can call.
    • CucumbaMan
      Joined: 13.10.2017 Posts: 231
      Wow, I hate these spots. Not sure what I would do here, but I guess you gotta call here, but would not feel so good about it. :f_ugly:
    • SDK1987
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 37,850
      It’s a nasty spot for sure, but I expect if he had a better set he would raise the flop already for protection. I would go broke here and if he has a flush it’s unlucky. Another option would be to check to the raiser and check/raise on the flop.

    • Talisker74
      Joined: 17.08.2009 Posts: 1,323
      I guess this is really an ugly spot.
      As mentioned out before, it depends on villains range what to do here for best.
      If villain allways has the flush here, than it is a fold.
      If he can push weaker hands it is an call.
      You should make a note how villain played his overpair in this situation (don`t forget he has an overpair and the FD to second nuts....)