[NL5] River call vs nit?

    • gordonebula
      Joined: 04.04.2012 Posts: 192
      Villain seems to be a nit (not enough sample, just 42 hands).

      PokerStars - $0.05 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players

      Hero (BTN): 100 BB
      SB: 104.4 BB (VPIP: 11.35, PFR: 6.38, 3Bet Preflop: 1.61, Hands: 146)
      BB: 101.4 BB (VPIP: 9.52, PFR: 9.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 42)
      UTG: 124.8 BB (VPIP: 21.19, PFR: 16.36, 3Bet Preflop: 9.35, Hands: 280)
      MP: 93 BB (VPIP: 58.33, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 12)
      CO: 172 BB (VPIP: 12.82, PFR: 10.26, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 40)

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has J:heart: T:heart:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, BB calls 1 BB

      Flop: (4.4 BB, 2 players) 8:diamond: 7:diamond: 9:club:
      BB checks, Hero bets 3.4 BB, BB calls 3.4 BB

      Turn: (11.2 BB, 2 players) 6:spade:
      BB checks, Hero bets 17 BB, BB calls 17 BB

      River: (45.2 BB, 2 players) Q:diamond:
      BB bets 79 BB and is all-in,

      Hero calls 77.6 BB and is all-in

      BB shows 9:heart: T:club: (Straight, Ten High)
      (Pre 26%, Flop 9%, Turn 3%)
      Hero shows J:heart: T:heart: (Straight, Queen High)
      (Pre 74%, Flop 91%, Turn 97%)
      Hero wins 192 BB
  • 4 replies
    • SDK1987
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 35,940
      I don’t think a nit would call to often an over bet with a flush draw on the turn and that makes it tough to fold with the best straight combination possible.

    • lfcmichael
      Joined: 30.10.2016 Posts: 140
      Yeah. The only FD hands I see him continuing OTT are JdTd (which are blocking quite a bit), Td9d and KdTd. That makes it hard to fold the best possible straight. I’d call too.
    • CucumbaMan
      Joined: 13.10.2017 Posts: 124
      Yeah, I think you should call here too. Not entirely sure why you overbet the pot on the turn though.
    • la55i
      Joined: 27.01.2013 Posts: 7,624
      This line is often strong and his bet sizing is quite big. It is close but I think calling should be ok. Even though this line is often used with very strong hands, for some reason it is quite common for these players to donk something like a set OTR when flush hits.. I don't know why but I have seen it a lot.