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[NL20-NL50] NL50 SH: set vs weird villain line

    • Diedobal
      Joined: 07.10.2007 Posts: 558
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy hand converter:

      Known players:
      Player sitout:

      $0.25/$0.5 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Preflop: Hero is BU with 2, 2.
      MP3 calls, CO raises to $2.00, Hero calls, 2 folds, MP3 calls.

      Flop: (27.00 SB) 8, 2, T (4 players)
      MP3 checks, CO bets $4.50, Hero calls, MP3 folds.

      Turn: (31.50 BB) 7 (3 players)
      CO checks, Hero bets $8.00, CO calls.

      River: (63.50 BB) 5 (3 players)
      CO bets $19.00, Hero??

      CO: 19/14/4.3 over 70 hands.

      Know my turn bet is rather low, but was trying to extract some value there. What to do on river & what hand(s) to put villain on with his strange line?
  • 5 replies
    • nttflox
      Joined: 25.10.2007 Posts: 673
      I would call because his line makes no sense. Maybe he thought you were trying to float him?
    • generals007
      Joined: 17.09.2007 Posts: 578
      What makes no sense about this?

      Villain hit sth on flop, like 8 or T or holds overpair. On turn he reevaluates and decides his hand is not strong enough to bet again so he c/c to extract values from a float, maybe he has the flushdraw too. On river he tries to get value in since he either hit the flush or thinks some worse hands than his would call.
      Other possibility: he bluffs on flop and only gets flushdraw on turn.
      One more: he hit set on flop too and tries to get value from a float on turn and doesn't think he has to protect.
      One more: he has straightdraw on flop, cbets, hits straight on river, checks to induce bluff, calls, and wants to make value on river.
      This is what I think: his hand could be anything.

      Didn't look at the betsizes since I hate those sb and bb potsizes but I'd also take your line... you don't know if he has the flush, straight ... he could well have one big pair, two pair.
    • aciddrop
      Joined: 08.10.2006 Posts: 1,519
      It looks like AK, AQ :club: or 55. That river bet is real value size.

      I would bet $12 on the turn, which is enough to make draws unprofitable, but still get called by weaker players. It is also better value for you.
    • caltabiano
      Joined: 09.03.2007 Posts: 1,992
      Looks like picked up flush draw on turn to me as well.

      He's not bluffing the river and I don't see any value hand in his range which is still weaker than yours.

      I don't think he'd play overpairs like that.
    • Kaitz20
      Joined: 02.02.2007 Posts: 27,343
      He could have two pair there.
      I´m not folding river.