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[NL10] 10's ~ 3bet pot, top set.

    • DecMate
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 1,478
      PokerStars - $0.10 NL FAST (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BTN: $11.75 (VPIP: 66.67, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 6)
      Hero (SB): $11.59
      BB: $11.56 (VPIP: 22.35, PFR: 16.78, 3Bet Preflop: 5.39, Hands: 1,223)
      UTG: $30.37 (VPIP: 26.47, PFR: 23.53, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 34)
      MP: $11.69 (VPIP: 47.62, PFR: 38.10, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 22)
      CO: $10.78 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 37)

      Hero posts SB $0.05, BB posts BB $0.10

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.15) Hero has T:club: T:spade:

      fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.30, BB raises to $0.90, Hero calls $0.60

      Flop: ($1.80, 2 players) 6:spade: T:diamond: 5:spade:
      Hero checks, BB bets $0.86, Hero raises to $2.40, BB calls $1.54

      Turn: ($6.60, 2 players) 7:spade:
      Hero checks, BB checks

      River: ($6.60, 2 players) Q:heart:
      Hero bets $3.15, fold

      Hero wins $6.30

      I was really stumbling on this pot. I'm not sure how to think about this turn.
      When he flats i think his range looks like KK AA QQ A10 56 89/89s, not putting trips in as i think we'd just stack off on the flop.

      I'm not sure even how to analyse this right now, any help appreciated.
  • 8 replies
    • lfcmichael
      Joined: 30.10.2016 Posts: 166
      I think I would probably have played it the same. It looks like he wanted to check it down after the straight draw and flush draw completed.

      What was your plan for the turn if he bet?
    • DecMate
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 1,478
      Originally posted by lfcmichael
      What was your plan for the turn if he bet?
      I'm really not sure. That's the thing about the hand, do we want to be going broke when the flush/straight hits?
      I'm not sure if we want to be just leading the turn small, we're giving free equity to his over pairs to bink out a flush on us. But at the same time i don't want to overcommit, or give him reason to push.

      As you can see i'm pretty lost here.
    • RubbyDubby
      Joined: 15.02.2018 Posts: 193
      I know I know... only 6 hands but he played 4 of them.
      His flop bet is strange on that board.
      His call is also strange, I'd jam or fold there.
      I think when it walks like a duck and quacks like a duck it must be a duck (with AA or KK indeed).

      My 2NL cents

      Edit: what I mean is that you 'might' think too advanced here.
    • lfcmichael
      Joined: 30.10.2016 Posts: 166
      Yes... I think I like a small turn bet, now you mention it, and you can fold to
      a raise. An overpair with a club seems a distinct possibility and then he gives up after the river doesn’t improve him.
    • Varune
      Joined: 24.04.2009 Posts: 5,450
      I'd bet the turn and stack off. With your check you're giving him a free card with QQ+ with a spade in it.

      With his low 3bet i'd reckon he doesn't 3bet alot of Axs, so his range is PP/broadway heavy -> you're still ahead on the turn.

      Also with the board getting even wetter, you don't want any more action killers. (i.e. a spade or 4card straight).
    • Bebabcsinya
      Joined: 01.12.2016 Posts: 76
      Yep, I think the same as Varune, his 3bet stats dont indicate that he will have too many Axs combos here or any other flushes. 89s would also be folding otf so the only two cards that can beat you ott are the AKs and AQs. So i would bet something like 2,5-3$ and stack off
    • nitrol
      Joined: 24.07.2010 Posts: 12,022
      We cannot fold on turn id we check and villain bets. We can improve...
    • LacsapR
      Joined: 14.07.2011 Posts: 220
      I also think we should bet the turn here...just not sure if we should really stack off if he raises?! Ofc we can improve but I think I'd just call and see what the river brings us.