A7s on bubble

    • villijmeen99
      Joined: 03.11.2016 Posts: 112
      Question is just one - to shove here or not?
      Button is an unknown but with good stats and wasn't playing bad either - VPIP 24.1, PFR 19.1, while the SB was a fish with stats VPIP 41.8, PFR 21.5. I was a little bit afraid because I had lately made some resteals vs BTN player and I have seen that good players after I have restealed on them a few times tend to use only allin shove vs me (which he was starting to do, but it could be also a chance only because he won a flip vs me and I became the shortstack) or trap me with monsters with minraising, hoping I will 3-bet allin. I was pretty sure that I am ahead of fishy players range because he liked to limp a lot and if he would have something really strong he could raise here, also he was folding a lot of hands vs resteals. Also limping showed some kind of weakness so I wasn't really afraid of him.

      PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 1.5 Tournament, 80/160 Blinds 20 Ante (3 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from http://flopturnriver.com

      SB (t3,703)
      Hero (BB) (t1,551)
      Button (t3,746)

      Hero's M: 5.17

      Preflop: Hero is BB with 7, A
      Button raises to t360, SB calls t280, Hero raises to t1,531 (All-In), Button calls t1,171, 1 fold

      Flop: (t3,482) 4, 2, 2 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Turn: (t3,482) A (2 players, 1 all-in)

      River: (t3,482) 9 (2 players, 1 all-in)

      Total pot: t3,482

      Results below:

      Button had 9, 9 (full house, nines over twos).
      Hero had 7, A (two pair, Aces and twos).
      Outcome: Button won t3,482
  • 2 replies
    • Arnalsan
      Joined: 15.03.2010 Posts: 454

      As showed above you should fold A7s and just shove JJ+ and AKs.
      RFI range of BU should be something 66+,A4s+,K8s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T9s,A9o+,KTo+,QTo+ [according stats] and equilab showed your hand was 45,51% underdog.
    • SDK1987
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 36,980
      Against a good regular and a fish, I doubt you have to much fold equity ether and I would wait for a first in spot against them and hoping now the fishy player makes a mistake post-flop.