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My bankroll challenge: 2500 to 5000 before 2019, 10000 June 2019!

    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Hi guys!

      My name is buiscuil. I have daabled a bit in tournaments but family life is too demanding for 4 hours tournaments so I mostly play 6 Max No Limits nowadays.

      Let's start with introduction and then an explaination for this thread. I started poker 5 years ago and got hooked to home games very quickly with my circle of friends. After a while they starting drifting off to other more mature matters (mostly video games and boardgames lol) so I decided to give online poker a try.

      I thought that the vice should be tackled with a stingy approach so I took on the poker websites on their free beginners offers, which range from $20 to $50 free depending on the website. I lost the free money on 3 sites, but started building bankrolls up on 2 others. The first one my bankroll went up from the free $20 to $450 in a couple of years but I have recently managed to take it back to $60 or so.

      The second one is the one I now use everyday: my bankroll went up from $50 (2013) to $4,400 (december 2017). My new year resolution was to get to $10,000 by the end of 2018. Unfortunately for me, since then my bankroll plummeted to $2,500 :f_cry: . Software tracker tells me that I am EV- for ~$500 of that, bad luck accounts for -$1,200 under my EV line and I got some + money from rake back. I have to say these have been 4 HORRIBLE months for me. Mostly losing the 40/60, the 50/50, the 60/40, the 70/30 and yes, even a few 95/5... It's hard to focus on playing well when this happens.

      Anyway this is not the first time I am under a bad spell (or a good one) but this still rattles me way too much. I want to be a good poker player, which to me means play an A game and not letting my game get negatively affected by results and bad luck. I also want to reach my $10,000 goal (which I realize is a bit challenging given the circumstances, and I will change the timeline to $5,000 by the end of the year or earlier and 10,000 by June 2019 :f_cool: ). One of my decisions to play better is to have a blog so tada! This will also push me not to make too much stupid plays and stay on top of my game YEAHHH

      I will post a few hands now and then, hopefully at least once a week. I am looking for regular readers to analyze the hands with me. I will come report weekly wins/losses, rant on fishes and regs alike, share my feelings on the game etc. STAY TUNED!
  • 19 replies
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      2 Apr to 11 Apr 2018
      Hands played: 7,134
      Won: -$892
      EV adjusted: -$265
      Current bankroll: ~$2,580
    • Arnalsan
      Arnalsan
      Bronze
      Joined: 15.03.2010 Posts: 579
      Hey, great blog and all the best on your journey to 10K
      I'm far from this goals and more like as you were in 2013.
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      thanks Arnalsan, I hope I can get better by maintaining this blof, we'll see. I hope you will follow and succeed yourself.
    • ShapeOfMyFart
      ShapeOfMyFart
      Basic
      Joined: 12.04.2018 Posts: 0
      good luck dude i will be staying tuned and following
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      12 Apr to 18 Apr 2018
      Hands played: 2,009
      Won: $127.54
      EV adjusted: $88.33
      Current bankroll: ~$2,730 : UP

      I don't know if that's the blog or not but I might have stopped the hemorrhage :) . I decided to play lower limits globally to regain trust in my game, not to shut down on playing up to NL50, but seat NL50 only if there was enough fish at the tables. I included NL10 as the lower limit I was planning to play and to make that approximately half of my tables.

      Anyhow, let's meet promises and share a hand from this week. Please analyze the hand including:
      Villain profile
      Preflop play
      Flop play
      Turn play (no River)


      iPoker, Hold'em No Limit - €0.25/€0.50 - 6 players
      Replay this hand on Upswing Poker

      UTG: €23.72 (47 bb) - Hands: 44 - VPIP 64 - PFR 25 -
      MP: €70.84 (142 bb)
      CO: €45.27 (91 bb)
      BU: €65.04 (130 bb)
      SB: €68.21 (136 bb)
      BB (Hero): €50.75 (102 bb)

      Pre-Flop: (€0.75) Hero is BB with 4 4
      UTG raises to €2, 3 players fold, SB calls €1.75, Hero calls €1.50

      Flop: (€6) T 4 3 (3 players)
      SB checks, Hero checks, UTG bets €3, SB folds, Hero calls €3

      Turn: (€12) 7 (2 players)
      Hero checks, UTG bets €18.72 (all-in), Hero calls €18.72

      Gougik with :Tc: :Ts:
    • ben002
      ben002
      Bronze
      Joined: 03.03.2018 Posts: 59
      Hi buiscuil,

      nice blog! :f_drink:

      I like the call OTT. You have got ~40% pot odds and if we assume his value range to be AA,KK,TT,33,65s,43s you already beat 16 out of 23 combos with little chance for him to improve. If we only count half of AA and KK and exclude 43s it still is 9 out of 16, more then 40%. As he most likely will have some bluffs included your odds are even better then that. MDF is also around 40%. So it is a clear call for me.
      I might have considered a check/raise OTF. If he opens as wide as the first 44 hands suggest, there might be a lot of equity for him on the board and TT is the only hand which beats you at the moment, while he also might call with 33 and some worse hands. So you would most likely still be ahead of more then half of his continuing range.
      edit: Maybe my thoughts about the c/r are wrong. He seems to have a limping range, which makes it less likely for him to have a lot of suited connectors OTF. Also he probably is not likely to bluff/semi-bluff in a 3-way-pot on such a volatile board. You might still be ahead of his continuing range, but the call was probably better. On the other hand it's probably good to get money in the pot OTF, as some scare cards on future streets might stop his action/make it more difficult to play.
      I am not so certain what I prefer. What were your thoughts on the flop?
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Ben002: I remember the table being quite fishy on the Flop. I considered the donk but I didn't want any of the 2 players folding yet. So I checked, thinking I could raise if both players were willing to stay in the hand. Once SB folded, I considered UTG's range and thought he could have a lot of air and will fold to a raise on those and call me all in anytime with a big pair, so I decided to call with the idea to put him AI on the turn, which he did for me :) .
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      End of week 3 to week 4
      19 Apr to 30 Apr 2018
      Hands played: 2,871
      Won: $152.23
      EV adjusted: $151.94
      Current bankroll: ~$2,870 : UP

      I had some stressing issues this week at work and at home so I am doubly glad this worked out.

      I have this hand to share, one of the last one of the week, which is actually a good topic of conversation. I have 56s, I am drawing flush and double ended straight on the flop. Most people tell me I should go all in here most of the time right? Odds vs an overpair are above 50%, vs a set they are decent... The issue I face is that often, the only villains following me all in facing me with Axs of the same color, while other hands that I beat such as regular pairs or overpairs end up folding. Please comment on what is working best for you and on game strategy. Have a great day!

      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $57.22 (114.4 bb)
      BB: $110.53 (221.1 bb)
      UTG: $345.14 (690.3 bb) Villain is VPIP 46 / PFR 40 (145 hands only mostly HU), goodLAG REG
      MP: $65.80 (131.6 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb) Villain is VPIP 25 / PFR 18 (600 hands only), REG
      Hero (BTN): $68.79 (137.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with :6c: :7c:
      UTG raises to $1.50, MP folds, CO calls $1.50, Hero calls $1.50, 2 folds

      Flop: ($5.25) :4c: :4s: :5c: (3 players)
      UTG bets $3.67, CO folds, Hero raises to $67, UTG raises to $343.50, Hero calls $0.29 and is all-in

      Turn: ($139.83) :9h: (2 players, 1 is all-in)
      River: ($139.83) :8h: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results: $139.83 pot ($3.00 rake)
      Final Board: :4c: :4s: :5c: :9h: :8h:
      CO mucked and lost (-$1.50 net)

      UTG showed :Tc: :9c: and lost (-$68.79 net)
      Hero mucked :6c: :7c: and won $136.83 ($68.04 net)
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      thanks Shape___ ;) Do you have one too?
    • greatpk
      greatpk
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.05.2016 Posts: 84
      Hey! Nice blog so far, will follow it for sure :)
      About the last hand you posted, shoving OTF depends on each player style at this board, and your only good vs overpairs, since a set already flopped the FH. But im glad the hand ended up in your favour :) .
      Also i dont really prefer playing small suited connectors multiway mostly cause they are bad at multi way. Most of the times, when you hit the flush/straight, its easy for others to fold their weaker holding, but you can often get stacked by stronger flushes. If i were you, i would either 3bet the 67 suited or just throw it in a muck. But thats just my opinnon, whats yours about low suited connectors?
      Anyways best of luck at the tables, cant wait for your next post :)
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Greatpk,
      While I have often encountered those bad setups where I am overflushed All In OTF, that doesn't mean we shouldn't play those hands. And I have to disagree for the 3B of 67s. Not that there isn't some cases where it's good, but more generally I think odds are better with a call. I this case I would have been forced to squeeze and fold any raise vs UTG. A UTG call would not bode well for me either. Plus, when I go all in OTF, my hand is pretty clearly a flush draw but what will UTG do with his UTG pairs? Will he fold 66+? Fold 66-TT but call JJ-AA? I think he will call most of it, especially a good Reg, who will now I have a flush draw but will pray I do not have the straight draw. Plus, I think he very rarely has a 4 in his hand. He might have 55 from time to time which is OK.
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Week 5
      30 Apr to 07 May 2018
      Hands played: 3,450
      Won: $-160.60
      EV adjusted: $-121.71
      Current bankroll: ~$2,757 : DOWN

      So that's a down... That was mostly 2 bad days and some weak winner days... Made a couple of mistakes in big pots and I paid that cash.
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      .
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Week 6
      8 May to 13 May 2018
      Hands played: 3,006
      Won: $495.11
      EV adjusted: $452.26
      Current bankroll: ~$3,120 : UP

      Pretty good week for me. Here is a hand where CO just came back from a pause and posted a big blind to play. I feel like someone would want that so I start with a limp, which is atypical for me, in the hope to see a raise. Please comment on my play and equally interesting, on the villains' plays.

      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $52.31 (104.6 bb) 1.3k hands - VPIP 20 - PFR 1
      BB: $18.50 (37 bb) 191 hands - VPIP 53 - PFR 36
      UTG: $79.62 (159.2 bb)
      Hero (MP): $65.73 (131.5 bb)
      CO: $50 (100 bb) 684 hands - VPIP 50 - PFR 28
      BTN: $49 (98 bb) 1.5k hands - VPIP 28 - PFR 13

      Preflop: Hero is MP with :Ad: :Kc:
      CO posts BB OOP, UTG folds, Hero calls $0.50, CO raises to $2.25, BTN calls $2.25, SB calls $2, BB calls $1.75, Hero raises to $65.73 and is all-in, CO calls $47.75 and is all-in, BTN calls $46.75 and is all-in, SB folds, BB calls $16.25 and is all-in

      Flop: ($169.75) :Kh: :7c: :Ah: (4 players, 4 are all-in)
      Turn: ($169.75) :6h: (4 players, 4 are all-in)
      River: ($169.75) :4d: (4 players, 4 are all-in)

      Results:
      $169.75 pot ($3 rake)
      Final Board: :Kh: :7c: :Ah: :6h: :4d:
      BB showed :9d: :8d: and lost (-$18.50 net)
      Hero mucked :Ad: :Kc: and won $166.75 ($116.75 net)
      CO showed :As: :Qc: and lost (-$50 net)
      BTN showed :Qs: :Qh: and lost (-$49 net)
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Week 7
      14 May to 22 May 2018
      Hands played: 4,965
      Won: $31.19
      EV adjusted: $-64.81
      Current bankroll: ~$3,170 : UP

      I got a bit lucky this week, lets hope I keep this up but don't get overconfident.
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Week 8
      23 May to 30 May 2018
      Hands played: 5,214
      Won: $-554
      EV adjusted: $-370
      Current bankroll: ~$2,807 : DOWN

      So... I basically took myself 3 weeks back sigh... Cards and luck were harsh, started tilting... I should come back to basics a little bit.
    • metalmonkey80
      metalmonkey80
      Moderator
      Moderator
      Joined: 15.08.2013 Posts: 2,772
      Hi buiscuil,
      Nice blog and look forward to seeing you achieve your BR goal this year :f_drink:
      Subbed
      Regards

      Matt
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Thanks MetalMonkey, went to see yours, you have been around for a while!
    • buiscuil
      buiscuil
      Bronze
      Joined: 22.01.2013 Posts: 46
      Weeks 9 and 10
      31 May to 13 June 2018
      Hands played: 7,401
      Won: $18.04
      EV adjusted: $-180.16
      Current bankroll: ~$2,860 : UP

      Another lucky sets of weeks. Although according to my poker tracker, this is the one hand where I lucked out the most during these 2 weeks (-$89 in EV difference):

      Please comment on what you would have done differently and I would be very interested to hear from someone who would lean towards a fold on the turn.

      IPoker, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 4 Players
      Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

      SB: $86.51 (173 bb)
      BB: $77.15 (154.3 bb)
      CO: $67.18 (134.4 bb) Hands 235 / VPIP 34 / PFR 26
      Hero (BTN): $58.34 (116.7 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is BTN with :Qs: :Qd:
      CO raises to $1.25, Hero calls $1.25, SB calls $1, BB folds

      Flop: ($4.25) :4c: :7c: :5c: (3 players)
      SB checks, CO bets $2.97, Hero calls $2.97, SB folds

      Turn: ($10.19) :Qh: (2 players)
      CO bets $8, Hero raises to $20, CO raises to $62.96 and is all-in, Hero calls $34.12

      River: ($118.43) :4d: (2 players, 1 is all-in)

      Results:
      $118.43 pot ($2.50 rake)
      Final Board: :4c: :7c: :5c: :Qh: :4d:
      CO showed :Ac: :3c: and lost (-$58.34 net)
      Hero mucked :Qs: :Qd: and won $115.93 ($57.59 net)


      FYI:
      1) Preflop, I just call and do not 3Bet because the SB is a reg with a large 3Bet stat and I hope he would try to squeeze. The BB is a fish with >50 VPIP and I hope he will call.

      2) On the turn my QQ has 23% equity vs this villain's hand. My required odds to call are 29%. Personally, I like my call because of his range of hands that I beat 44 55 77 KK AA Asxo AQo although some are more likely to just call vs a push. We should also add a few hands that have me beat 36s 68s xxs athough apart from Axs the rest might be rare.