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[NL5] Hard decision OTR

    • Tonyx86
      Joined: 28.03.2018 Posts: 142
      888 Poker - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      BB: $7.62 (VPIP: 19.10, PFR: 15.58, 3Bet Preflop: 1.43, Hands: 201)
      UTG: $6.11 (VPIP: 47.83, PFR: 26.09, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 47)
      UTG+1: $6.38 (VPIP: 15.83, PFR: 10.00, 3Bet Preflop: 4.08, Hands: 124)
      MP: $4.18 (VPIP: 10.13, PFR: 6.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 80)
      Hero (MP+1): $6.17
      CO: $10.65 (VPIP: 25.88, PFR: 18.82, 3Bet Preflop: 6.25, Hands: 86)
      BTN: $5.91 (VPIP: 14.42, PFR: 8.67, 3Bet Preflop: 2.65, Hands: 420)
      SB: $9.00 (VPIP: 20.57, PFR: 13.71, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 176)

      SB posts SB $0.02, BB posts BB $0.05

      Pre Flop: (pot: $0.07) Hero has A:spade: K:diamond:

      fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.14, CO calls $0.14, fold, fold, BB raises to $0.47, Hero calls $0.33, fold

      Flop: ($1.10, 2 players) 5:diamond: T:spade: A:heart:
      BB bets $0.72, Hero calls $0.72

      Turn: ($2.54, 2 players) 3:spade:
      BB checks, Hero checks

      River: ($2.54, 2 players) 2:club:
      BB bets $6.43 and is all-in, Hero calls $4.98 and is all-in

      BB shows T:diamond: T:heart: (Three of a Kind, Tens)
      (Pre 57%, Flop 97%, Turn 100%)
      Hero shows A:spade: K:diamond: (One Pair, Aces)
      (Pre 43%, Flop 3%, Turn 0%)
      BB wins $11.77

      Villain seems so be some NL5 regular. Playing 19/16/1 over 200 hands. Pre standard openraise. I was still calling the 3bet because of position. Unfortunately ive overseen the flatcall from CO. In this case 4betting would have been much better i guess.

      Flop is sth i wanted to see. Easy call. His range ist sth like TT+,AQ+. After i checked OTT i was quiet sure he had JJ-KK. So i checked behind for some bluff induce OTR.

      Who will find a call there after his shove? I see him bluffing very often.
  • 7 replies
    • ben002
      Joined: 03.03.2018 Posts: 59

      I second for the 4bet preflop.
      As played I would have bet OTT. I think that your hand is strong enough for two streets of value. There might still be some flush-draws, gutshots and weaker aces calling. Some of these draws would probably be turned into bluffs OTR if busted. But I think its better to get the value right away and make him pay for realizing his equity. I don't think he would bluff with hands like KK-JJ and weaker Ax as they still offer very good SDV and seem much better suited for check/call or check/fold then for bluffing. Depending on how one might define his preflop range he might even run out of bluffs a bit.
      For the river I think that it is rare for players on NL5 to choose such a huge bet size for bluffing. At higher stakes one might need this to balance out one's value range but at the micros I think it rarely happens from non-maniacish people and going by his stats villain doesn't seem to be the typical maniac. So it's a fold for me.
    • Tomaloc
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,109
      easy bet on the turn and easy fold on the river. if he's bluffing KQ with 2x pot overjam then good job to him
    • Tonyx86
      Joined: 28.03.2018 Posts: 142
      Okay. Thx guys so far.
    • Zotyibacsi97
      Joined: 20.05.2015 Posts: 217
      Agree with you guys, pre 4bet but call is fine to. Turn bet fold ~40%, as playd river is easy fold.

      I see him bluffing very often.
      To be honest, i think it's 90% value
    • SDK1987
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 38,970
      I have moved your hand to the hand discussion board, because it’s fits better there.

    • MrQNo
      Joined: 30.09.2006 Posts: 2,065
      While i regularly support 4bets or pushes with QQ or AK preflop, here i prefer the call. Villain has 3bet 1.67% from 200 hands, that is a hint that he has only big pairs in his range. QQ+, AKs give that 1.6%. So you would be dog vs. this range.
    • Mozzek
      Joined: 16.07.2016 Posts: 1,124
      MP vs BB squeeze, that´s not exactly the spot u wanna be 4b AKo imo. Even vs standard opp I would prefer just call and vs somebody who profiles as a passive 3bettor preflop I would happily flat it pre. OTT I´m checking. We are either way ahead (he´s got JJ-KK, AQ) or way behind (AA). We block flush draws as well. I don´t think going for 3 streets of value vs AQ is a good gameplan here. So this´d standard x OTT for me. As played I fold OTR, this looks to me like AA nearly always. I think we can fold AK and not feel bad about it. I´d call TT only, fold rest.