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[NL5] AA river push all in fold?

    • ToddBrunson
      ToddBrunson
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.05.2010 Posts: 281
      Hi Everyone!

      My first question, my bet size, flop and turn it's ok or more less or more? Lot of draws this board and definetly protect my hand. Maybe turn some draw supplemented, KQ, and Q8, J9, J10 but i think he probably raise the straight and top two pairs. And river lot of combos what i won, AJ, maybe overplayed and semmi bloff QJ, KJ and over pairs, QQ, KK and busted flush draws.

      This villain possible range i have got 50%. 99+,22,ATs+,KTs+,QTs+,J9s+,T9s,87s,AJo-ATo,KTo+,QTo+,J9o+,T9o,97o. Maybe tight, but i don't think the call big mistake for me.
      Villain stats only 176 hands, 34/17 wtsd 34, wonsd 78 (not a small pot but just 9 hands)


      Poker Stars, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players


      SB: $5.54 (110.8 bb)
      BB: $5.72 (114.4 bb)
      UTG: $3.80 (76 bb)
      Hero (MP): $6.14 (122.8 bb)
      CO: $4.85 (97 bb)
      BTN: $5.83 (116.6 bb)

      Preflop: Hero is MP with :Ac: :Ah:
      UTG calls $0.05, Hero raises to $0.22, CO calls $0.22, BTN calls $0.22, 2 folds, UTG calls $0.17

      Flop: ($0.95) :Td: :2d: :9s: (4 players)
      UTG checks, Hero bets $0.61, CO calls $0.61, 2 folds

      Turn: ($2.17) :Js: (2 players)
      Hero bets $1.39, CO calls $1.39

      River: ($4.95) :Tc: (2 players)
      Hero checks, CO bets $2.63 and is all-in, Hero calls $2.63

      Results:
      $10.21 pot ($0.42 rake)
      Final Board: :Td: :2d: :9s: :Js: :Tc:
      Hero showed :Ac: :Ah: and lost (-$4.85 net)
      CO showed :Th: :Qh: and won $9.79 ($4.94 net)
  • 3 replies
    • Mozzek
      Mozzek
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.07.2016 Posts: 1,095
      This board hits their ranges pretty well. Id say optimal play would be to pot control from the flop - so xc otf. The turn is definitely overplay, hes got sets, two pairs and even straights. Vs raise you have to fold. And maybe you should even xf ott - depends on the size of bet we'd face. The flop size is tricky, they share fe, so you dont need to bet that big, on the other hand you need protection. Anyway vs raise you should fold flop imo.
    • ToddBrunson
      ToddBrunson
      Bronze
      Joined: 23.05.2010 Posts: 281
      But this limit most of players lot of bloffing even in mwp, so i just call flop and turn and river if he bet, i fold? The most players 3 street barrels for KJ, QJ, AJ.
    • Mozzek
      Mozzek
      Bronze
      Joined: 16.07.2016 Posts: 1,095
      I have different experience id say ppl underbluff - at least on rivers. He might have some bluffs there for sure, but hes got shitloads of 2pairs+ and u got overpair only afterall. Kk would be better as you would block the nuts. As played its overplayed imo and the river is tough, you dont block any fd and T removes some of his value hands so... its hard decision u got urself into. Id prefer x ott definitely.

      Wntsd is useless unless u got 5k hands+.