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Big $4.40 AQ vs 31bb 3bet shove

    • ILuvBeachVB
      Joined: 17.06.2010 Posts: 410
      No Limit Hold'em Tournament T900/T1,800/T150
      Buy-in: $3.92+$0.48 USD Hold'em No Limit
      8 players
      Formatted by Poker HUD for Mac and Windows

      UTG - UTG (T26,120)
      UTG+1 - UTG+1 (T64,637)
      MP - Hero (T114,139)
      MP2 - MP2 (T93,390) 43/0/0 [VPIP/PFR/3B] 14 hands
      CO - CO (T66,930)
      BTN - BTN (T57,218) 39/29/25 [VPIP/PFR/3B] 66 hands
      SB - SB (T50,125)
      BB - BB (T73,677)

      Preflop: (T3,900, 8 players) Hero is MP with A:spade: Q:club:
      2 folds, Hero raises to T4,500, MP2 calls T4,500, 1 fold, BTN raises to T57,068 (all-in), 2 folds, Hero?

      31 BB is big shove and more than half of my stack. But this player is playing fairly LAG. I wonder what hands he is squeeze shoving that I am ahead of? Would he do this with AJ? AT? KQ? At the time I thought probably not, but given his stats, I am not sure if fold is best here.

      2 folds, Uncalled bet of T52,568 returned to BTN

      Total Pot: T17,400

      BTN wins T17,400
  • 1 reply
    • SDK1987
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 39,290
      He looks aggressive for sure and I expect he could think that you are the only player that would call a shove here. I expect he can easy shove almost any pair and indeed hands like AJ and KQ and I don’t think an over shove would be too bad here.