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[NL5] QQ vs pre flop 3bet

    • DannyHorsley
      Joined: 03.12.2014 Posts: 191
      888 Poker - $0.05 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      MP: 127.2 BB (VPIP: 24.71, PFR: 14.12, 3Bet Preflop: 4.55, Hands: 171)
      MP+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 83.02, PFR: 11.32, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 54)
      CO: 40 BB (VPIP: 10.67, PFR: 9.46, 3Bet Preflop: 7.02, Hands: 151)
      BTN: 100 BB (VPIP: 25.32, PFR: 18.99, 3Bet Preflop: 3.03, Hands: 80)
      SB: 115.4 BB (VPIP: 40.91, PFR: 22.73, 3Bet Preflop: 8.33, Hands: 68)
      BB: 201.2 BB (VPIP: 22.96, PFR: 17.12, 3Bet Preflop: 6.54, Hands: 257)
      UTG: 105.8 BB (VPIP: 12.82, PFR: 11.66, 3Bet Preflop: 4.71, Hands: 433)
      Hero (UTG+1): 249.6 BB

      SB posts SB 0.4 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB, MP+1 posts penalty blind 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 2.4 BB) Hero has Q:club: Q:diamond:

      fold, Hero raises to 5 BB, MP raises to 14.2 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 9.2 BB

      Flop: (30.8 BB, 2 players) T:spade: J:spade: T:diamond:
      Hero checks, MP bets 30.8 BB, Hero raises to 235.4 BB and is all-in, MP calls 82.2 BB and is all-in

      Turn: (256.8 BB, 2 players) 5:club:

      River: (256.8 BB, 2 players) 3:diamond:

      Villain has a 3bet% of 5. An equity calculator would put him on a range from 1010+, AQs+, AQo+. I also feel however that villain is slightly more passive due to the large gap between his VPIP and PFR, so I don't want to 4bet him with QQ pre flop. I'm putting him on a pre flop range of AA, KK, QQ, AKo, AKs, maybe sometimes we can say AQ (suited or unsuited). Sample size isn't amazing for looking at 3bet% but not the worst.

      Opponents cbet percentage is 100% (12/12). He makes a pot sized bet OTF. Had it not been for this statistic I would have folded, however I decide to shove, forcing him to fold his AKs, AQ. If he calls and turns over AA or KK then fair play to him.

      Opponent does call and we go to showdown.

      I am really trying hard to improve my hand reading abilities. I'd therefore be grateful if you all could take a look at this hand and let me know what you think.
  • 3 replies
    • SDK1987
      Joined: 12.11.2008 Posts: 39,330
      Problem with shoving the flop that you get only action of better. I don’t think he would a call a shove with 99. I would most likely just call and call a turn shove if he likes to cbet turn a lot as well. Off course it would help as well if you have a Cbet sizing tell on him.

    • DannyHorsley
      Joined: 03.12.2014 Posts: 191
      Yes I agree SDK that he will only call with better hands like AA, KK, AK. Thank you for pointing that out! Is my hand reading here okay or am I missing any key bits of information?
    • DecMate
      Joined: 25.01.2009 Posts: 1,535
      You're over analyzing a small sample size. Keep it simple.
      Flop should be a call here. As sd said you're only getting called by better