[NL20-NL50] Nl50 [66]

    • veriz
      veriz
      Black
      Joined: 20.07.2008 Posts: 65,504
      $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Holdem
      8 players
      Converted at weaktight.com

      Stacks:
      UTG ($50.17)
      Hero (UTG+1) ($71.82)
      MP1 ($50.00)
      MP2 ($9.25)
      CO ($8.47)
      BTN ($50.31)
      SB ($52.69)
      BB ($19.50)

      Pre-flop: ($0.75, 8 players) Hero is UTG+1 6:club: 6:diamond:
      UTG calls $0.50, Hero bets $2.50, MP1 calls $2.50, 4 folds, BB calls $2, UTG bets $10, Hero calls $8, MP1 folds, BB folds

      Flop: 9:club: 4:heart: 9:spade: ($26.25, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      Turn: 8:heart: ($26.25, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      River: 4:spade: ($26.25, 2 players)
      UTG checks, Hero checks

      Can I call here for set value?
  • 3 replies
    • Talic
      Talic
      Bronze
      Joined: 04.01.2008 Posts: 1,851
      you hit your set 12% of the time on flop... so answer yourself :)
    • BogdanDin7
      BogdanDin7
      Bronze
      Joined: 29.04.2008 Posts: 1,114
      No , you can`t . I often call lighter with PP in 3bet pots because if I hit he will go broke most of the time , but even so he only has 40$ left and you have to call 8$.Let`s assume you are 100% sure that he will go broke if you hit your set. You will win 68.25$ . That gives you like 11.5% I think. So even if he pays 100% you break even. But you can`t assume that , and even so with rake it`s -EV
    • darkonebg
      darkonebg
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 17.01.2008 Posts: 9,508
      Originally posted by BogdanDin7
      No , you can`t . I often call lighter with PP in 3bet pots because if I hit he will go broke most of the time , but even so he only has 40$ left and you have to call 8$.Let`s assume you are 100% sure that he will go broke if you hit your set. You will win 68.25$ . That gives you like 11.5% I think. So even if he pays 100% you break even. But you can`t assume that , and even so with rake it`s -EV
      You also forgot to mention that he wont win every time when he hits his set.