[NL2-NL10] Nl10 88

    • Fongie
      Fongie
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 4,978
      Hand converted with online PokerStrategy hand converter:

      Known players:
      SB:
      $13.80
      BB:
      $10.05
      MP2:
      $12.55
      MP3:
      $12.95
      CO:
      $12.00
      BU:
      $5.00

      $0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

      Preflop: Hero is MP3 with 8, 8.
      MP2 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, 2 folds, SB calls, BB calls.

      Flop: (24.00 SB) 9, 2, 9 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $0.40, Hero calls, SB calls.

      Turn: (24.00 BB) J (3 players)
      SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks.

      River: (24.00 BB) 6 (3 players)
      SB checks, BB bets $2.00, Hero calls, SB folds.

      Final Pot: 64.00 BB.

      Fongie goes calling station?

      BB: 30/7/3/29 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD) 56 hands
      river af = 7 W$SD = 10
      I took a long good look at this guys river stats before calling.
  • 3 replies
    • darkonebg
      darkonebg
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 17.01.2008 Posts: 9,508


      BB: 30/7/3/29 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTSD) 56 hands
      river af = 7 W$SD = 10
      I took a long good look at this guys river stats before calling.
      You shouldnt have. 56 hands is irrelevant even for preflop stats, not to mention such a delicate stat as aggression by street(You need at least 1k hands in order for this to be reliable).In addition, its NL10, you shouldnt rely on stats too much and play your cards.

      Im betting turn.As played, Im calling river.
    • Fongie
      Fongie
      Bronze
      Joined: 02.12.2006 Posts: 4,978
      You call even if the guy has been passive so far? (lets say 0.3 total AF or something). He showed up with AQ, so I was pretty happy with the call, but I normally lay it down to a normal fishy opponent.
    • darkonebg
      darkonebg
      Headadmin
      Headadmin
      Joined: 17.01.2008 Posts: 9,508
      Thats why I mentioned to play your cards.
      He cant represent nothing but the 66 here. no1 is playing 9x this way,overpairs are 3beting preflop.If he caught a jack so be it, too good odds to lay this down.Makes an easy call.
      AF doesnt mean anything after 50 hands(and AF by street even less). Poker is a very situational game, and in order to build a reliable postflop behavior image you need a massive hand, so you can be sure a similar situation had repeated multiple times and he acted the same way most of the time he did.
      From his 50 hands, he roughly VPIP'd 15 hands. Cant know how many times he saw the river with only these stats, but a rough estimate is 3-4 times.Can you make a decision based on either he's bet three of them or two?