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[NL2] AK OOP against a passive opponent

    • Bernasconi
      Bernasconi
      Silver
      Joined: 04.08.2006 Posts: 486
      PF: Standard open raise
      F: TPTK standard half-pot bet.
      T: Not the best card but I expect him to raise me if he has the 6 which he does not.
      R: I am not sure if I should bet TPTK on the river here. The 5d is a blank on this board. I am better than any busted draws (which will fold) but I can be called by worse Ax and maybe Jx. He could have two pair as well.

      Should I just check on the river on such a board? Or what did go wrong here?

      888 Poker - $0.02 NL - Holdem - 8 players
      Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

      MP: 200 BB (VPIP: 13.42, PFR: 4.91, 3Bet Preflop: 1.25, Hands: 535)
      Hero (MP+1): 109.5 BB
      CO: 107 BB (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 33.33, 3Bet Preflop: 50.00, Hands: 3)
      BTN: 140.5 BB (VPIP: 41.19, PFR: 3.16, 3Bet Preflop: 0.93, Hands: 541)
      SB: 107 BB (VPIP: 50.00, PFR: 16.67, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      BB: 93 BB (VPIP: 60.87, PFR: 4.35, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 24)
      UTG: 100.5 BB (VPIP: 66.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 103)
      UTG+1: 100 BB (VPIP: 2.44, PFR: 2.44, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 41)

      SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

      Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A:club: K:spade:

      UTG calls 1 BB, fold, fold, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, BTN calls 3 BB, fold, fold, UTG calls 2 BB

      Flop: (10.5 BB, 3 players) A:heart: 6:club: J:club:
      UTG checks, Hero bets 5 BB, BTN calls 5 BB, fold

      Turn: (20.5 BB, 2 players) 6:spade:
      Hero bets 10 BB, BTN calls 10 BB

      River: (40.5 BB, 2 players) 5:diamond:
      Hero bets 20 BB, BTN calls 20 BB

      Hero shows A:club: K:spade: (Two Pair, Aces and Sixes)
      (Pre 74%, Flop 18%, Turn 9%)
      BTN shows A:diamond: J:spade: (Two Pair, Aces and Jacks)
      (Pre 26%, Flop 82%, Turn 91%)
      BTN wins 75.5 BB
  • 8 replies
    • Netgames999
      Netgames999
      Silver
      Joined: 12.11.2006 Posts: 1,873

      PF: Standard open raise
      No and no. Not standard and not open. You have a limper. Go for 4.5bb or 5bb.

      F: TPTK standard half-pot bet.
      You have two weak players in your hand. Make them pay! Lots of weaker Ax, FD and Jx. 75% will often still get paid.

      He could have two pair as well.
      You have a two pair as well. Only AJ is a better two pair.

      In my opinion, against weak players it's an easy river bet.
    • Bernasconi
      Bernasconi
      Silver
      Joined: 04.08.2006 Posts: 486
      So you suggest bigger PF and F bets but the rest is fine in your oppinion? I try to be not result orientied especially in this case. Seems like I have to adjust my PF and F bet sizes. Thank you for your valuable feedback.
    • Tomaloc
      Tomaloc
      Gold
      Joined: 17.01.2011 Posts: 7,111
      i might even size it to play for stacks here. sometimes you lose to AJ and 6x but i expect a 41 vpip player to have all the Ax in their range
    • Netgames999
      Netgames999
      Silver
      Joined: 12.11.2006 Posts: 1,873

      size it to play for stacks here
      That's what I would go for with these runouts.
    • Post removed

    • Andrepipocado
      Andrepipocado
      Bronze
      Joined: 31.01.2018 Posts: 84
      Originally posted by Bernasconi
      So you suggest bigger PF and F bets but the rest is fine in your oppinion? I try to be not result orientied especially in this case. Seems like I have to adjust my PF and F bet sizes. Thank you for your valuable feedback.
      I fully agree with the bet on the 3 streets, we charge of all the smaller Ax and some Jx, weak players do not drop that type of hand in that spot. I would just change the sizes of the bets, just to get the most out of these weak players.
    • pguest
      pguest
      Silver
      Joined: 01.04.2009 Posts: 1,899
      Pre is 5bb. 4bb for an iso raise and 1bb per limper.

      I would have betted bigger OTF, something between 1/2 and 2/3 OTT and smallish OTR (against a CS) or check/call (against a TAG).
    • pguest
      pguest
      Silver
      Joined: 01.04.2009 Posts: 1,899
      Postflop stats would help here, IMHO. Some passive players are callish all the way through, but some are loose pre and play fit or fold pos.

      So, I don't try to guess postflop behaviour based on preflop stats. Unless I have a very specific read on villain going to SD with 2nd best frequently.