[NL2-NL10] NL10 34s

    • Jaissica
      Jaissica
      Bronze
      Joined: 10.02.2009 Posts: 1,385
      Known players:
      Position:
      Stack
      Hero:
      $10.45
      BB:
      $2.00

      0.05/0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (7 handed)
      Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy Elephant 0.67 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

      Preflop: Hero is SB with 4:heart: , 3:heart:
      5 folds, Hero calls $0.05, BB raises to $0.40, Hero calls $0.30.

      Flop: ($0.80) 8:spade: , 5:diamond: , 6:spade: (2 players)
      Hero checks, BB bets $1.60 (All-In), Hero calls $1.60.

      Turn: ($4.00) J:heart:
      River: ($4.00) 8:heart: (1 players)


      Final Pot: $4.00

      Can I find a fold here? Im putting villain on two overcards, not the pair, but out count is the same.
  • 1 reply
    • soucy
      soucy
      Bronze
      Joined: 28.11.2006 Posts: 2,092
      Raise or Fold preflop. If you don't want to Steal Raise first in from the SB you have to fold. complete/call is such a weak line.

      As played ... Let's have a look at your equity.

      Against 2 overcards you have 48% equity:

      Operation canceled... 11.020.913 games processed in 3 seconds. Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 47,960% 46,548% 2,823% 50,629% 4h3h
      Player 2: 52,040% 50,629% 2,823% 46,548% KcQc

      If villain has a pair without a flushdraw you have 37,5% equity:

      Equity Win Tie Loss Hand
      Player 1: 32,818% 31,406% 2,824% 65,770% 4h3h
      Player 2: 67,182% 65,770% 2,824% 31,406% Ac8c

      So your best possible chance is it to get it in with 48% equity.

      You have to pay $1.60 to win a pot of $2.40 which means you need at least 40% equity for a profitable call.

      If we give villain a really loose range of 55+, A7s+, KJs+, K8s, T8s, A7o+, KQo, K8o, T8o then you just have 33% equity at the flop. Which means you def. have to fold here because you don't get the needed equity to call.